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Süper Lig

Referee: M Metoğlu

Sivasspor

S U S T T

3–2

Full-time

Gaziantep

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Gaziantep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 4/2 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 13%

25%

Average goals

1,5

1,0

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,11 xG 1,90

47% Possession 53%

16 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 6

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sivasspor 10. · Gaziantep 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+9	+5.7	10
2	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.3	9
3	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+6	+3.4	9
4	Eyüpspor	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.1	8
5	Buyuksehyr	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.8	7
6	Goztep	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.4	6
7	Samsunspor	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.5	6
8	Kasimpasa	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.7	5
9	Konyaspor	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.5	4
10	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.8	4
11	Antalyaspor	4	1	1	2	-4	-3.4	4
12	Rizespor	4	1	1	2	-5	+0.4	4
13	Gaziantep	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
14	Bodrumspor	4	1	0	3	-4	+2.0	3
15	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
16	Alanyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	+0.8	2
17	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
18	Hatayspor	4	0	1	3	-5	-6.3	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
2	Besiktas	2	2	0	0	+4	+4.1	6
3	Fenerbahce	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
4	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
5	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
6	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
7	Bodrumspor	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.8	3
8	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.0	3
9	Alanyaspor	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
10	Kasimpasa	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
11	Konyaspor	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.8	1
12	Sivasspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
13	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.4	1
14	Rizespor	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.2	1
15	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
16	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
17	Samsunspor	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
18	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.8	6
2	Samsunspor	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
3	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+5	+2.6	4
4	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
5	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.9	4
6	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
7	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
9	Konyaspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
10	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.8	3
11	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
13	Buyuksehyr	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Kayserispor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
15	Ad. Demirspor	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.7	1
16	Hatayspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.9	0
17	Antalyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.7	0
18	Alanyaspor	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.6	0
19	Bodrumspor	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.