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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Nijmegen

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,7

Scored

3,7

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

5,3

2,0

Scored

4,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+3,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,99 xG 0,12

77% Possession 23%

26 Shots 2

11 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 9

15 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Nijmegen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+15	+7.3	12
2	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.7	10
3	Utrecht	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.1	10
4	Groningen	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.7	8
5	Nijmegen	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
6	For Sittard	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.5	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.1	6
8	Feyenoord	3	1	2	0	+4	+3.6	5
9	Willem II	4	1	2	1	+1	-2.0	5
10	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+3	+1.5	4
11	Twente	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.3	4
12	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.3	3
13	Zwolle	4	1	0	3	-3	-2.1	3
14	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-5	+1.1	3
15	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-7	-3.2	3
16	Heracles	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.8	2
17	Almere City	4	0	1	3	-10	-5.6	1
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-10	-7.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.9	6
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.4	6
3	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.5	4
4	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
5	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.0	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
7	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	For Sittard	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.2	3
9	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.3	3
10	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.5	3
11	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.1	3
12	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.0	3
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
14	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
15	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
16	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.9	1
17	Almere City	3	0	1	2	-7	-3.0	1
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+4	+4.0	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.4	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+2.0	4
4	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.0	4
5	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
6	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.6	4
7	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.2	3
8	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
9	Twente	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Willem II	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.0	2
11	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
12	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
13	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.1	0
15	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.4	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.8	0
18	NAC Breda	2	0	0	2	-7	-1.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.