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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Anderlecht
S U S S S
2–2
Full-time
Westerlo
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,73 xG 1,44
66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 8
9 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 6. · Westerlo 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Dender 6 3 2 1 +4 +0.9 11
2 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +6 +6.1 10
3 Genk 5 3 1 1 +1 +8.3 10
4 Charleroi 5 3 0 2 +3 +2.0 9
5 St. Gilloise 5 2 2 1 +2 +2.8 8
6 Anderlecht 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.4 7
7 Standard 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.4 7
8 Antwerp 3 2 0 1 +5 +2.3 6
9 Gent 4 2 0 2 +2 -0.3 6
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 1 3 0 +2 +0.1 6
11 Westerlo 4 2 0 2 +0 -0.1 6
12 Mechelen 3 1 1 1 -1 -2.4 4
13 Kortrijk 5 1 0 4 -7 -1.7 3
14 St Truiden 5 0 2 3 -9 -4.4 2
15 Beerschot VA 5 0 1 4 -5 -4.4 1
16 Cercle Brugge 4 0 1 3 -7 -9.3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Westerlo
1–0 L. Vázquez
A. Dreyer
9′
38′
E. Bayram 1–1
Half-time 1–1
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ L. Vázquez
46′
46′
🔁 A. Sayyadmanesh
↦ G. Yow
46′
🔁 A. Devine
↦ J. Alcócer
48′
🟨 Josimar Alcócer
Theo Leoni 🟨
59′
Jan-Carlo Simić 🟨
60′
60′
L. Vušković 1–2
S. Edozie 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
62′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ J. Šimić
63′
69′
🔁 J. Bos
↦ T. Rommens
70′
🟨 Luka Vušković
80′
🔁 D. Mebude
↦ M. Frigan
81′
🟨 Bryan Reynolds
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ K. Sardella
82′
2–2 M. Stroeykens
N. Angulo
84′
Majeed Ashimeru 🟨
88′
93′
🟨 Sinan Bolat
93′
🟨 Roman Neustädter
Nilson Angulo 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
54 K. Sardella D
4 J. Šimić D
13 M. Jørgensen D
6 L. Augustinsson D
17 T. Leoni M
32 L. Dendoncker M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
36 A. Dreyer F
20 L. Vázquez F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (9)
29 M. Stroeykens
27 S. Edozie
18 M. Ashimeru
19 N. Angulo
23 M. Rits
16 M. Kikkenborg
25 T. Foket
35 T. Schlieck
5 M. N'Diaye

Coach: B. Riemer

Westerlo

3-4-1-2
1 S. Bolat G
44 L. Vušković D
33 R. Neustädter D
40 E. Bayram D
22 B. Reynolds M
46 A. Piedfort M
34 D. Haspolat M
25 T. Rommens M
77 J. Alcócer F
18 G. Yow F
9 M. Frigan F
Bench (9)
7 A. Sayyadmanesh
10 A. Devine
5 J. Bos
47 D. Mebude
23 R. Seigers
20 N. Gillekens
17 R. Smekens
15 S. Sydorchuk
2 E. Ortakaya

Coach: T. Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U ✓
4,10
B
4,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.