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La Liga
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Sevilla
T U T U T
1–0
Full-time
Getafe
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
0,7
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,41 xG 0,99
61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 19. · Getafe 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +10 +7.4 12
2 Villarreal 5 3 2 0 +3 +1.5 11
3 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +5 +5.4 8
4 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +4 +4.2 8
5 Girona 4 2 1 1 +3 +2.9 7
6 Alaves 5 2 1 2 +1 +2.0 7
7 Espanol 5 2 1 2 +0 -1.6 7
8 Osasuna 4 2 1 1 -2 -2.3 7
9 Celta 4 2 0 2 +1 -0.5 6
10 Betis 4 1 2 1 +0 +1.2 5
11 Mallorca 5 1 2 2 -1 -0.2 5
12 Leganes 5 1 2 2 -2 -3.6 5
13 Vallecano 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.6 4
14 Ath Bilbao 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.5 4
15 Sociedad 4 1 1 2 -1 -1.6 4
16 Valladolid 4 1 1 2 -9 -4.2 4
17 Getafe 3 0 3 0 +0 +1.3 3
18 Las Palmas 4 0 2 2 -3 -4.7 2
19 Sevilla 4 0 2 2 -3 -0.5 2
20 Valencia 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Getafe
-5′
🟨 Álex Sola
1–0 Jesús Navas
Adrià Pedrosa
23′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Bertuğ Özgür Yıldırım
Isaac Romero 🟨
56′
63′
🟨 Djené
D. Lukébakio 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
67′
Juanlu Sánchez 🔁
↦ Jesús Navas
67′
71′
🔁 Gorka Rivera
↦ Carles Pérez
71′
🔁 Carles Aleñá
↦ M. Arambarri
71′
🔁 P. González
↦ Álex Sola
L. Agoumé 🔁
↦ Peque Fernández
76′
Kike Salas 🔁
↦ Marcão
80′
Juanlu Sánchez 🟨
83′
84′
🔁 Yellu Santiago
↦ C. Uche
84′
🔁 Alberto Risco
↦ Diego Rico
Juanlu Sánchez 🟨
86′
Juanlu Sánchez 🟥
86′
90′
🟨 Yellu Santiago
V. Barco 🔁
↦ D. Sow
95′
G. Montiel 🔁
↦ Isaac Romero
95′
96′
🔁 J. Patrick
↦ Juan Berrocal
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

3-4-3
13 Ø. Nyland G
32 José Ángel Carmona D
24 T. Nianzou D
23 Marcão D
16 Jesús Navas M
6 N. Gudelj M
20 D. Sow M
3 Adrià Pedrosa M
14 Peque Fernández F
7 Isaac Romero F
21 C. Ejuke F
Bench (12)
11 D. Lukébakio
26 Juanlu Sánchez
18 L. Agoumé
4 Kike Salas
19 V. Barco
15 G. Montiel
1 Álvaro Fernández
27 S. Idumbo
8 Pedro Ortiz
31 Alberto Flores
9 K. Ịheanachọ
30 Alberto Collado

Coach: García Pimienta

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
21 Juan Iglesias D
2 D. Dakonam D
4 Juan Berrocal D
16 Diego Rico D
17 Carles Pérez M
8 M. Arambarri M
5 Luis Milla M
7 Álex Sola M
6 C. Uche F
10 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (10)
30 Gorka Rivera
11 Carles Aleñá
19 P. González
20 Yellu Santiago
26 Alberto Risco
31 J. Patrick
22 Domingos Duarte
33 Guillem Trilla
29 Coba
1 J. Letáček

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,09
B
3,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.