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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Molde

T T S S T

6–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

43%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

70%

38%

Both score Ø 44%

55%

33%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,81 xG 1,50

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 11

11 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 4. · Fredrikstad 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	5	2	+35	+15.7	50
2	Viking	22	11	7	4	+13	+11.3	40
3	Brann	20	10	6	4	+8	+10.3	36
4	Molde	20	10	4	6	+15	+11.3	34
5	Fredrikstad	21	9	7	5	+6	+4.2	34
6	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+1	+1.1	33
7	KFUM Oslo	21	7	8	6	+1	+6.4	29
8	Sarpsborg 08	21	7	5	9	-11	-7.0	26
9	Ham-Kam	22	6	7	9	-4	-2.7	25
10	Tromso	21	7	4	10	-5	-12.2	25
11	Stromsgodset	21	6	5	10	-10	-4.7	23
12	Kristiansund	19	5	7	7	-3	-6.7	22
13	Haugesund	21	6	4	11	-9	-6.5	22
14	Sandefjord	20	5	6	9	-4	-1.2	21
15	Lillestrom	21	6	2	13	-16	-5.7	20
16	Odd	21	4	6	11	-17	-13.2	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	3	0	+23	+10.0	27
2	Viking	12	8	3	1	+11	+7.7	27
3	Rosenborg	11	8	1	2	+8	+5.1	25
4	Molde	10	5	2	3	+9	+8.9	17
5	Brann	10	5	2	3	+2	+9.7	17
6	Fredrikstad	11	4	5	2	+1	+5.1	17
7	Kristiansund	9	4	4	1	+4	+3.9	16
8	Sandefjord	10	5	1	4	+2	+1.3	16
9	Stromsgodset	10	3	3	4	+0	+4.7	12
10	Haugesund	10	4	0	6	-4	-0.6	12
11	Tromso	11	3	2	6	-2	-1.1	11
12	KFUM Oslo	11	2	5	4	-4	+7.8	11
13	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	2	5	-7	-1.3	11
14	Ham-Kam	10	2	4	4	-2	-1.4	10
15	Odd	11	2	4	5	-7	-3.6	10
16	Lillestrom	10	2	2	6	-10	-2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	2	2	+12	+5.6	23
2	Brann	10	5	4	1	+6	+0.6	19
3	KFUM Oslo	10	5	3	2	+5	-1.4	18
4	Molde	10	5	2	3	+6	+2.3	17
5	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+5	-0.9	17
6	Ham-Kam	12	4	3	5	-2	-1.3	15
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	3	4	-4	-5.8	15
8	Tromso	10	4	2	4	-3	-11.1	14
9	Viking	10	3	4	3	+2	+3.6	13
10	Lillestrom	11	4	0	7	-6	-3.5	12
11	Stromsgodset	11	3	2	6	-10	-9.4	11
12	Haugesund	11	2	4	5	-5	-5.9	10
13	Rosenborg	10	2	2	6	-7	-4.0	8
14	Odd	10	2	2	6	-10	-9.6	8
15	Kristiansund	10	1	3	6	-7	-10.6	6
16	Sandefjord	10	0	5	5	-6	-2.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.