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Conference League
Referee: R Gidzhenov
Kilmarnock
U T S T T
1–1
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 57%
33%
80%
Points per game
1,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 27%
33%
20%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 FC Copenhagen – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Kilmarnock FC Copenhagen
1–0 M. Watkins ⚽
16′
D. Watson 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
25′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Lukas Lerager
Danny Armstrong 🟨
57′
63′
🔁 O. Óskarsson
↦ V. Froholdt
67′
⚽ L. Mayo 2–0
own goal
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ J. Wright
75′
B. Wales 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
75′
77′
🔁 Robert
↦ E. Achouri
81′
🔁 M. Mattsson
↦ V. Claesson
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
83′
C. Ndaba 🔁
↦ J. Burroughs
83′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 K. O'Hara G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
2 J. Burroughs D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
22 L. Donnelly M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (12)
12 D. Watson
31 L. Polworth
24 B. Wales
14 G. Mackay-Steven
3 C. Ndaba
26 B. Brannan
7 R. McKenzie
19 B. Anderson
6 R. Deas
18 I. Cameron
20 R. McCrorie
51 O. Bainbridge

Coach: D. McInnes

FC Copenhagen

4-3-3
1 N. Trott G
2 K. Diks D
3 D. Vavro D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
15 M. López D
47 V. Froholdt M
33 R. Falk M
12 L. Lerager M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
7 V. Claesson F
30 E. Achouri F
Bench (9)
18 O. Óskarsson
16 Robert
8 M. Mattsson
38 O. Højer
45 A. Chiakha
58 H. Bidstrup
4 M. Garan'anga
31 R. Rúnarsson
21 T. Sander

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.