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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Sociedad

T T S T U

0–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,07 xG 2,38

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 16. · Real Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+10	+7.4	12
2	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+3	+1.5	11
3	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	+5.4	8
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	+4.2	8
5	Girona	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.9	7
6	Alaves	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.0	7
7	Espanol	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.6	7
8	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	-2	-2.3	7
9	Celta	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.5	6
10	Betis	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
11	Mallorca	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
12	Sevilla	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.1	5
13	Leganes	5	1	2	2	-2	-3.6	5
14	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.6	4
15	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
16	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.6	4
17	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-9	-4.2	4
18	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-1	+0.9	3
19	Las Palmas	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.7	2
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+8	+4.2	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.7	6
4	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
5	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+2.4	4
7	Betis	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.1	4
9	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
10	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
12	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.2	3
13	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
14	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
15	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.6	2
16	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Mallorca	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.8	2
18	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
19	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
20	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.2	6
3	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
4	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
5	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.6	4
6	Girona	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.6	4
7	Mallorca	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
8	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
9	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.8	2
10	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
11	Leganes	3	0	2	1	-2	-3.6	2
12	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
14	Betis	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
15	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
16	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
18	Las Palmas	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.0	0
19	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.2	0
20	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-10	-5.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.