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Serie B

Referee: I Pezzuto

Bari

U T T U U

2–0

Full-time

Mantova

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

13 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 8

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 29

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bari 20. · Mantova 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Spezia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Reggiana	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Cesena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Mantova	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Salernitana	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Brescia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Modena	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
16	Palermo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Carrarese	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Bari	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Catanzaro	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Cosenza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Juve Stabia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cittadella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Bari	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Palermo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
7	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Sassuolo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Mantova	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Cesena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.