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LaLiga2
Referee: A Fuentes
Girona
U T U U T
5–2
Full-time
Las Palmas
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,25 xG 0,82
44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Girona 18. · Las Palmas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leganes 3 2 1 0 +2 -2.0 7
2 Sp Gijon 3 2 1 0 +2 -1.0 7
3 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.4 6
4 Tenerife 3 2 0 1 +2 -0.8 6
5 Sabadell 3 1 2 0 +1 +3.5 5
6 Celta B 2 1 1 0 +2 -2.2 4
7 Granada 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.1 4
8 Castellon 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.4 4
9 Oviedo 3 1 1 1 +0 +3.1 4
10 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +2 +3.9 3
11 Almeria 3 1 0 2 +1 -1.3 3
12 Cordoba 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.2 3
13 Burgos 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.8 3
14 Mallorca 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.3 3
15 Sociedad B 2 1 0 1 +0 -2.0 3
16 Eibar 2 1 0 1 -1 +2.0 3
17 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 +2.3 2
18 Girona 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.6 1
19 Eldense 3 0 1 2 -4 -1.9 1
20 Albacete 3 0 0 3 -3 +0.4 0
21 Valladolid 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.4 0
22 Ceuta 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Las Palmas
Jastin García 🟨
6′
1–0 J. Garcia
F. Beltran
22′
27′
🟨 Enzo Loiodice
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Bonfanti
↦ J. Herzog
46′
🔁 Ivan Jaime
↦ J. Betancor
48′
Ivan Jaime 1–1
2–1 F. Beltran
55′
Y. Asprilla 🔁
↦ J. Garcia
57′
3–1 Y. Asprilla
V. Vanat
60′
Abel Ruíz ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
69′
🔁 I. Gonzalez
↦ E. Loiodice
69′
🔁 S. Ramirez
↦ M. Fuster
4–1 Y. Asprilla
A. Ruiz
72′
J. Bonar 🔁
↦ D. Lopez
73′
I. Morante 🔁
↦ A. Ruiz
73′
Bryan Gil 🟨
74′
75′
🟥 Jesé Rodríguez
79′
🔁 S. Ruiz
↦ K. Rodriguez
D. van de Beek 🔁
↦ V. Vanat
83′
O. Pyshchur 🔁
↦ F. Beltran
84′
85′
T. Miyashiro 4–2
I. Gonzalez
5–2 I. Gonzalez
90′
93′
🟨 Giovanni Bonfanti
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Girona

4-4-2
13 P. Gazzaniga G
16 A. Frances D
5 D. Lopez D
38 H. Zamorano
11 A. Moreno D
17 B. Gil M
8 F. Beltran M
24 I. Gonzalez M
21 J. Garcia M
9 A. Ruiz F
19 V. Vanat F
Bench (12)
25 V. Krapyvtsov
4 J. Bonar
39 G. Badia
2 A. Mumin
6 D. van de Beek
29 L. Kourouma
14 I. Morante
30 U. Hernandez
7 C. Stuani
22 Y. Asprilla
12 D. Camara
34 O. Pyshchur

Coach: Quique Alvarez

Las Palmas

4-4-2
13 J. Caro G
27 V. Pezzolesi D
4 Alex Suarez D
15 J. Herzog D
5 E. Clemente D
11 T. Miyashiro M
12 E. Loiodice M
20 K. Rodriguez M
7 J. Betancor M
14 M. Fuster F
10 Jese F
Bench (12)
35 A. Suarez
21 G. Bonfanti
23 A. Rodriguez
33 V. Villote
24 Ivan Jaime
8 S. Ruiz
6 I. Gonzalez
16 M. Acimovic
30 I. Medina
29 E. Romero
19 S. Ramirez
32 R. Cruz

Coach: Ruben de la Barrera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,63
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Fuentes · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.