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LaLiga2
Referee: D Arcediano
La Coruna
T S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Malaga
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 50%
52%
48%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
61%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 10
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 2. · Malaga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 33 19 5 9 +18 -4.2 62
2 La Coruna 33 17 8 8 +15 +2.4 59
3 Almeria 33 17 7 9 +18 +5.1 58
4 Burgos 34 16 9 9 +12 +4.8 57
5 Malaga 33 16 8 9 +15 +6.3 56
6 Las Palmas 33 14 12 7 +16 +2.4 54
7 Castellon 33 15 9 9 +14 +3.7 54
8 Eibar 33 14 9 10 +6 +5.3 51
9 Ceuta 33 14 6 13 -10 -9.6 48
10 Sp Gijon 33 13 7 13 +1 +1.1 46
11 Cordoba 34 12 9 13 -6 +3.7 45
12 Albacete 34 11 11 12 -2 +1.1 44
13 Andorra 33 11 10 12 -1 +2.2 43
14 Granada 33 10 12 11 +3 +0.5 42
15 Sociedad B 33 11 7 15 -4 -8.4 40
16 Leganes 33 9 12 12 +2 +3.1 39
17 Valladolid 33 10 9 14 -7 +2.2 39
18 Cadiz 34 10 8 16 -14 -7.7 38
19 Zaragoza 33 8 10 15 -14 -0.2 34
20 Huesca 33 8 8 17 -17 -0.5 32
21 Mirandes 33 7 8 18 -20 -4.3 29
22 Cultural Leonesa 33 7 8 18 -25 -9.1 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Malaga
-5′
🟨 Dani Lorenzo
42′
🟨 Carlos Puga
Half-time 0–0
Y. Hernandez 🔁
↦ B. Nsongo
62′
S. Mulattieri 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
62′
67′
🔁 J. Dorrio
↦ A. Ochoa
73′
🟨 Izan Merino
1–0 S. Mulattieri
A. Altimira
74′
Samuele Mulattieri 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 A. Nino
↦ D. Larrubia
75′
🔁 R. Rodriguez
↦ I. Merino
75′
🔁 R. Enriquez
↦ Juanpe
79′
A. Nino 1–1
J. Dorrio
R. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ D. Villares
84′
C. Patino 🔁
↦ Cruz Luismi
84′
84′
🔁 V. Garcia
↦ C. Puga
87′
🟨 Diego Murillo
Adrià Altimira 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-2-2-2
25 A. Fernandez G
23 X. Navarro D
4 L. Noubi D
15 M. Loureiro D
12 G. Quagliata D
8 D. Villares M
21 M. Soriano M
2 A. Altimira M
19 Cruz Luismi M
22 Stoichkov F
32 B. Nsongo F
Bench (12)
1 G. Parreno
18 S. Escudero
20 J. Jurado
14 R. Rodriguez
16 J. Gragera
9 Z. Eddahchouri
6 C. Patino
10 Y. Hernandez
17 C. Herrera
3 A. Comas
7 S. Mulattieri
5 D. Barcia

Coach: Antonio Hidalgo

Malaga

4-4-2
1 A. Herrero G
3 C. Puga D
16 D. Murillo D
20 J. Montero D
31 Rafita D
10 D. Larrubia M
8 Juanpe M
23 I. Merino M
11 J. Munoz M
35 A. Ochoa F
9 Chupe F
Bench (12)
13 C. Lopez
5 D. Brasanac
14 V. Garcia
25 J. Dorrio
17 E. Jauregi
24 J. Lobete
22 D. Lorenzo
21 A. Nino
37 R. Rodriguez
6 R. Enriquez
36 A. Recio
2 J. Gabilondo

Coach: Juan Funes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U ✓
3,38
B
3,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Arcediano · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.