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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Vasteras SK

U T U S T

0–1

Full-time

GAIS

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vasteras SK GAIS

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,38 xG 0,89

54% Possession 46%

5 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vasteras SK 11. · GAIS 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+10	+5.9	16
2	Elfsborg	7	4	2	1	+5	+1.8	14
3	Hammarby	6	3	2	1	+11	+4.5	11
4	Djurgarden	6	3	1	2	+6	+1.2	10
5	Hacken	6	2	4	0	+3	+1.6	10
6	Malmo FF	6	3	1	2	+2	+1.3	10
7	Mjallby	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.7	10
8	AIK	6	2	2	2	+0	-0.4	8
9	Degerfors	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.8	8
10	Brommapojkarna	7	2	2	3	-3	+1.1	8
11	Vasteras SK	6	2	2	2	-4	-5.8	8
12	GAIS	6	1	2	3	+0	+0.1	5
13	Orgryte	6	1	2	3	-10	-2.5	5
14	Kalmar	6	1	1	4	-3	-0.8	4
15	Goteborg	6	0	3	3	-10	-2.2	3
16	Halmstad	6	0	2	4	-8	-2.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+13	+4.4	10
2	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.4	10
3	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.1	9
4	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+6	+1.2	7
5	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.4	6
6	AIK	3	2	0	1	+1	–	6
7	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.3	5
8	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+3	–	4
9	Kalmar	3	1	1	1	+0	–	4
10	Degerfors	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.0	4
11	Malmo FF	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.3	3
12	Vasteras SK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.9	2
13	Orgryte	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
14	Brommapojkarna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
15	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.4	1
16	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
2	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
3	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.7	7
4	Vasteras SK	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.9	6
5	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.3	5
6	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
7	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
8	Mjallby	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.3	4
9	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	–	3
10	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-9	-3.6	3
11	AIK	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.4	2
12	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.7	2
13	Hammarby	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
14	GAIS	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.1	1
15	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-3	–	1
16	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.