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LaLiga2

Referee: J Sanchez

Sp Gijon

T S T S T

1–2

Full-time

Ceuta

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ceuta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 40%

41%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

49%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,87 xG 1,22

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 4

8 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 11. · Ceuta 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	38	22	6	10	+22	-1.1	72
2	La Coruna	38	19	11	8	+18	+1.2	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	+18	+1.6	67
4	Castellon	38	18	10	10	+17	+5.9	64
5	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	+18	+2.4	63
6	Malaga	38	18	9	11	+17	+6.3	63
7	Eibar	38	17	10	11	+11	+6.4	61
8	Burgos	37	17	10	10	+11	+5.3	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	-2	+4.1	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	+8	+2.0	55
11	Sp Gijon	37	15	7	15	+3	+2.3	52
12	Ceuta	37	14	9	14	-13	-14.8	51
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	-2	+2.0	50
14	Granada	38	12	12	14	-1	+0.7	48
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	-8	+2.2	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	-5	+3.1	42
17	Sociedad B	37	11	8	18	-8	-9.3	41
18	Cadiz	38	10	9	19	-19	-6.7	39
19	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	-20	-4.5	36
20	Huesca	38	9	9	20	-20	-0.4	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	-18	+2.9	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	-27	-11.5	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	20	13	4	3	+18	+10.4	43
2	Santander	19	13	2	4	+20	+3.7	41
3	Almeria	18	13	2	3	+20	+6.7	41
4	Malaga	19	11	6	2	+17	+5.3	39
5	Castellon	19	12	3	4	+16	+1.2	39
6	Las Palmas	19	11	5	3	+18	+3.2	38
7	Sp Gijon	19	10	6	3	+12	+3.3	36
8	Ceuta	18	11	3	4	+7	+0.4	36
9	La Coruna	19	10	5	4	+9	+1.4	35
10	Burgos	19	9	7	3	+12	+6.6	34
11	Huesca	19	7	7	5	+1	+1.1	28
12	Cordoba	18	8	4	6	+0	+1.3	28
13	Andorra	19	7	6	6	+4	+2.9	27
14	Granada	19	6	8	5	+5	+3.5	26
15	Sociedad B	18	7	5	6	+2	-1.4	26
16	Valladolid	19	7	5	7	+2	+4.0	26
17	Albacete	19	7	4	8	-5	-0.2	25
18	Leganes	18	6	5	7	+0	+7.5	23
19	Cadiz	19	6	2	11	-9	-1.9	20
20	Mirandes	19	5	5	9	-10	-1.4	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	6	9	-9	+6.1	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	19	3	5	11	-16	+1.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	19	9	6	4	+9	-0.3	33
2	Santander	19	9	4	6	+2	-4.8	31
3	Cordoba	20	8	5	7	-2	+2.8	29
4	Andorra	19	8	4	7	+4	-0.9	28
5	Burgos	18	8	3	7	-1	-1.3	27
6	Almeria	19	7	5	7	-2	-5.1	26
7	Albacete	19	6	7	6	+3	+2.2	25
8	Castellon	19	6	7	6	+1	+4.7	25
9	Las Palmas	18	6	7	5	+0	-0.8	25
10	Malaga	19	7	3	9	+0	+0.9	24
11	Granada	19	6	4	9	-6	-2.9	22
12	Leganes	20	4	7	9	-5	-4.4	19
13	Cadiz	19	4	7	8	-10	-4.8	19
14	Cultural Leonesa	19	5	4	10	-11	-12.7	19
15	Eibar	18	4	6	8	-7	-4.0	18
16	Zaragoza	19	4	5	10	-9	-3.2	17
17	Valladolid	18	4	5	9	-10	-1.9	17
18	Sp Gijon	18	5	1	12	-9	-1.0	16
19	Mirandes	18	4	4	10	-10	-3.1	16
20	Sociedad B	19	4	3	12	-10	-7.9	15
21	Ceuta	19	3	6	10	-20	-15.2	15
22	Huesca	19	2	2	15	-21	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.