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LaLiga2

Referee: Alejandro Morilla Turrion

Sp Gijon

S S S T S

1–3

Full-time

Malaga

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

47%

37%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

42%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

53%

58%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,56 xG 1,46

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Gijon 7. · Malaga 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	20	11	5	4	+15	+0.2	38
2	Almeria	20	10	5	5	+10	-0.1	35
3	Las Palmas	19	9	7	3	+12	+0.6	34
4	Castellon	20	10	4	6	+9	+3.2	34
5	La Coruna	19	9	5	5	+11	+2.7	32
6	Cadiz	19	8	6	5	+1	-0.8	30
7	Sp Gijon	19	9	3	7	+0	+1.1	30
8	Burgos	20	8	5	7	+4	+1.5	29
9	Cordoba	20	7	8	5	+2	+0.6	29
10	Ceuta	19	8	5	6	-1	-3.2	29
11	Malaga	19	7	5	7	+2	-0.7	26
12	Valladolid	20	6	7	7	+1	+3.9	25
13	Eibar	20	6	6	8	-2	+1.5	24
14	Andorra	19	6	6	7	-5	-1.2	24
15	Cultural Leonesa	20	7	3	10	-8	-6.3	24
16	Albacete	19	6	5	8	-6	-0.7	23
17	Huesca	20	6	5	9	-9	+1.3	23
18	Sociedad B	20	6	4	10	-2	+0.7	22
19	Granada	20	4	9	7	-4	-0.1	21
20	Leganes	19	4	8	7	-3	+1.3	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	5	10	-14	-3.5	17
22	Mirandes	20	4	4	12	-13	-2.1	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	11	6	3	2	+9	+4.4	21
2	Santander	10	6	2	2	+11	+0.4	20
3	Las Palmas	10	6	2	2	+9	+0.8	20
4	Almeria	10	6	2	2	+8	+2.5	20
5	Castellon	10	6	2	2	+8	+1.5	20
6	Malaga	10	5	4	1	+8	-0.6	19
7	Ceuta	9	6	1	2	+5	-0.4	19
8	Sociedad B	10	5	3	2	+5	+0.4	18
9	Sp Gijon	10	5	3	2	+3	+1.5	18
10	Cadiz	10	5	2	3	+2	+1.3	17
11	Huesca	10	4	4	2	+1	+0.0	16
12	La Coruna	9	4	3	2	+4	+2.4	15
13	Cordoba	10	4	3	3	+1	-1.2	15
14	Valladolid	11	3	4	4	+2	+3.8	13
15	Burgos	10	3	4	3	+2	+2.1	13
16	Andorra	9	3	3	3	+0	-0.5	12
17	Granada	10	2	5	3	+0	+2.3	11
18	Albacete	9	3	1	5	-6	-0.2	10
19	Cultural Leonesa	10	2	3	5	-5	+0.3	9
20	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-9	-0.4	8
21	Mirandes	9	2	1	6	-9	-0.5	7
22	Leganes	9	1	3	5	-5	+1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	10	5	3	2	+4	-0.2	18
2	La Coruna	10	5	2	3	+7	+0.3	17
3	Burgos	10	5	1	4	+2	-0.6	16
4	Almeria	10	4	3	3	+2	-2.6	15
5	Cultural Leonesa	10	5	0	5	-3	-6.6	15
6	Las Palmas	9	3	5	1	+3	-0.1	14
7	Leganes	10	3	5	2	+2	+0.2	14
8	Castellon	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.7	14
9	Cordoba	10	3	5	2	+1	+1.8	14
10	Albacete	10	3	4	3	+0	-0.5	13
11	Cadiz	9	3	4	2	-1	-2.1	13
12	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	-1	+0.1	12
13	Sp Gijon	9	4	0	5	-3	-0.3	12
14	Andorra	10	3	3	4	-5	-0.7	12
15	Granada	10	2	4	4	-4	-2.4	10
16	Ceuta	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.8	10
17	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-4	-1.7	9
18	Zaragoza	10	2	3	5	-5	-3.1	9
19	Malaga	9	2	1	6	-6	-0.1	7
20	Huesca	10	2	1	7	-10	+1.3	7
21	Sociedad B	10	1	1	8	-7	+0.3	4
22	Eibar	9	0	3	6	-11	-2.9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.