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LaLiga2
Referee: Sergiu Muresan
Sp Gijon
S T T T U
1–3
Full-time
Malaga
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
40%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
45%
35%
Both score Ø 50%
65%
35%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
23 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 9. · Malaga 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 20 11 5 4 +11 38
2 Santander 20 11 4 5 +5 37
3 Mirandes 20 10 5 5 +6 35
4 Oviedo 21 10 5 6 +4 35
5 Elche 20 9 6 5 +11 33
6 Granada 21 9 6 6 +8 33
7 Huesca 20 9 5 6 +9 32
8 Levante 19 8 7 4 +7 31
9 Sp Gijon 20 8 6 6 +6 30
10 Castellon 20 8 5 7 +3 29
11 Eibar 21 8 4 9 -2 28
12 Malaga 20 5 12 3 +0 27
13 Cordoba 21 7 6 8 -5 27
14 Zaragoza 20 7 5 8 +4 26
15 Albacete 21 6 8 7 -3 26
16 La Coruna 19 6 6 7 +6 24
17 Burgos 20 6 5 9 -8 23
18 Cadiz 20 5 7 8 -6 22
19 Eldense 20 5 5 10 -8 20
20 Ferrol 20 3 9 8 -13 18
21 Cartagena 21 4 2 15 -21 14
22 Tenerife 18 2 5 11 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Malaga
Dani Queipo 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
César Gelabert 🔁
↦ Dani Queipo
46′
46′
R. Baturina 0–1
Antonio Cordero
50′
🟨 Julen Lobete
Lander Olaetxea 🟨
54′
Nacho Martín 🔁
↦ Lander Olaetxea
60′
60′
🔁 Kevin Medina
↦ David Larrubia
60′
🔁 Dioni
↦ R. Baturina
63′
🟨 Carlos Puga
J. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Jesús Bernal
69′
Cote 🔁
↦ Pablo García
69′
77′
🔁 A. Moloney
↦ Antonio Cordero
77′
🔁 Izan Merino
↦ Julen Lobete
César Gelabert ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
Víctor Campuzano
penalty missed
82′
1–1 Víctor Campuzano
82′
César Gelabert 🟨
85′
86′
Dioni 1–2
Dani Sánchez
Álex Oyón 🔁
↦ Víctor Campuzano
88′
94′
Dioni 1–3
Izan Merino
96′
🔁 Sangalli
↦ Manu Molina
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

5-4-1
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
4 Róber Pier D
14 Lander Olaetxea D
22 Diego Sánchez D
5 Pablo García D
9 Dani Queipo M
8 Jesús Bernal M
10 Nacho Méndez M
7 Gaspar Campos M
11 Víctor Campuzano F
Bench (12)
18 César Gelabert
6 Nacho Martín
16 J. Caicedo
3 Cote
27 Álex Oyón
20 Kevin Vázquez
23 Eric Curbelo
28 P. Mbemba
13 C. Sánchez
26 Iker Martínez
15 N. Maraš
29 Y. Kembo

Coach: Rubén Albés

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Puga D
5 Álex Pastor D
20 Nélson Monte D
18 Dani Sánchez D
10 David Larrubia M
12 Manu Molina M
19 Luismi M
26 Antonio Cordero M
9 R. Baturina F
24 Julen Lobete F
Bench (12)
11 Kevin Medina
17 Dioni
35 A. Moloney
29 Izan Merino
23 Sangalli
8 Juanpe
21 Y. Rahmani
4 Einar Galilea
14 Víctor García
2 Gabilondo
13 Carlos López
6 Ramón Enríquez

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U
3,38
B ✓
4,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sergiu Muresan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.