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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Reims
U U S U U
5–3
Full-time
Pau FC
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 38%
39%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
42%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 6. · Pau FC 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 33 20 7 6 +28 67
2 Le Mans 33 15 14 4 +17 59
3 St Etienne 33 17 6 10 +16 57
4 Rodez 33 14 13 6 +5 55
5 Red Star 32 15 9 8 +8 54
6 Reims 33 13 14 6 +16 53
7 Annecy 33 15 7 11 +11 52
8 Montpellier 33 14 8 11 +10 50
9 Pau FC 33 12 9 12 -12 45
10 Dunkerque 33 11 10 12 +9 43
11 Guingamp 33 10 10 13 -6 40
12 Grenoble 33 7 15 11 -7 36
13 Boulogne 33 9 9 15 -14 36
14 Clermont 33 8 10 15 -7 34
15 Nancy 33 8 10 15 -18 34
16 Laval 33 5 14 14 -19 29
17 Bastia 32 5 13 14 -14 28
18 Amiens 33 6 6 21 -23 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -25 Pau FC – Reims 2–0

Match report

Reims Pau FC
14′
K. Dong 0–1
J. Anziani
21′
K. Dong 0–2
J. Anziani
1–2 M. Daramy
A. Tia
25′
2–2 K. Nakamura
S. Akieme
39′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 K. Nakamura
Y. Benhattab
49′
Abdoul Kone 🟨
53′
4–2 K. Nakamura
Y. Benhattab
61′
John Patrick 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 G. Versini
↦ O. Sadik
T. Diarra 🔁
↦ A. Tia
65′
65′
🔁 R. Verhaeghe
↦ T. Pouilly
H. Sekine 🔁
↦ M. Busi
66′
Y. Fofana 🔁
↦ Y. Benhattab
66′
74′
🔁 E. Zuliani
↦ S. Basse
75′
🔁 S. Lebouath
↦ N. Glossoa
5–2 K. Nakamura
H. Sekine
76′
78′
🔁 K. Gasnier
↦ K. Dong
Zabi 🔁
↦ J. Patrick
87′
A. Bojang 🔁
↦ K. Nakamura
88′
90′
R. Touzghar 5–3
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
29 E. Jaouen G
4 M. Busi D
92 A. Kone D
22 S. Kotto D
18 S. Akieme D
30 J. Patrick M
6 T. Leoni M
90 Y. Benhattab M
87 A. Tia M
9 M. Daramy M
17 K. Nakamura F
Bench (7)
20 A. Olliero
7 T. Diarra
86 Zabi
3 H. Sekine
8 Y. Fofana
27 A. Bojang
28 Elie

Coach: Karel Geraerts

Pau FC

5-3-2
30 E. Salles G
26 N. Glossoa D
2 T. Pouilly D
19 Kante D
3 J. Kalulu D
8 S. Basse D
84 R. Touzghar M
6 C. Fall M
20 J. Anziani M
18 O. Sadik F
9 K. Dong F
Bench (7)
40 G. Grimaud
11 K. Gasnier
87 E. Zuliani
10 G. Versini
33 R. Verhaeghe
36 T. Nihouarn
34 S. Lebouath

Coach: Thierry Debes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,35
U
4,80
B
7,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.