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Super League
Referee: L Fahndrich
Zurich
S T T T U
2–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 23%
29%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
80%
54%
Both score Ø 63%
69%
57%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,97 xG 0,96
57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zurich 10. · Grasshoppers 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 35 24 2 9 +35 +4.5 74
2 St. Gallen 35 18 9 8 +22 +10.0 63
3 Lugano 35 18 9 8 +14 +1.3 63
4 Sion 35 15 13 7 +21 +14.8 58
5 Basel 35 16 8 11 +6 +11.9 56
6 Young Boys 35 13 9 13 +3 -2.6 48
7 Luzern 35 12 10 13 +6 +2.6 46
8 Servette 35 11 13 11 +4 +10.4 46
9 Lausanne 35 11 9 15 -9 +1.5 42
10 Zurich 35 10 5 20 -21 -9.2 35
11 Grasshoppers 35 6 9 20 -28 -20.0 27
12 Winterthur 35 4 8 23 -53 -25.3 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Grasshoppers
Cheveyo Tsawa 🟨
23′
35′
F. Tsimba 0–1
J. Asp
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟥 Felix Tsimba
46′
ℹ️ Felix Tsimba
VAR: Card upgrade
1–1 A. Hack
I. Cavaleiro
49′
56′
🔁 M. Frey
↦ A. Abrashi
2–1 I. Sauter
C. Tsawa
61′
65′
ℹ️ Dirk Abels
VAR: Penalty confirmed
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ C. Tsawa
73′
U. Emmanuel 🔁
↦ I. Cavaleiro
73′
M. Phaeton 🔁
↦ B. Krasniqi
73′
74′
🔁 Lee Young-Jun
↦ S. Krasniqi
74′
🔁 S. Marques
↦ J. Asp
74′
🔁 M. Ullmann
↦ N. Rissi
Silas Huber 🟨
79′
D. Vujevic 🔁
↦ S. Hodza
85′
D. Ramic 🔁
↦ J. Perea
85′
85′
🔁 I. Beka
↦ H. Imourane
87′
🟨 Samuel Marques
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zurich

4-4-1-1
1 S. Huber G
32 S. Hodza D
2 L. Kamberi D
42 A. Hack D
27 I. Sauter D
9 J. Perea M
6 C. Tsawa M
15 N. Palacio M
8 I. Cavaleiro M
7 B. Krasniqi F
19 P. P. Keny F
Bench (9)
25 Y. Brecher
23 V. Berisha
38 M. Reichmuth
48 K. Ihendu
11 U. Emmanuel
10 M. Phaeton
14 N. Di Giusto
35 D. Vujevic
49 D. Ramic

Coach: Carlos Bernegger

Grasshoppers

4-1-4-1
71 J. Hammel G
2 D. Abels D
20 M. Ngom D
27 S. Kohler D
57 N. Rissi D
5 H. Imourane M
54 S. Krasniqi M
8 T. Meyer M
6 A. Abrashi M
10 J. Asp M
19 F. Tsimba F
Bench (9)
1 N. Glaus
99 M. Frey
30 I. Beka
11 S. Diarrassouba
18 Lee Young-Jun
52 S. Marques
16 M. Mantini
31 M. Ullmann
4 L. Mikulic

Coach: Gernot Messner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fahndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.