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LaLiga2

Referee: J A Gonzalez Esteban

Almeria

S S T S T

3–2

Full-time

Malaga

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 50%

51%

49%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

57%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Malaga 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	36	21	5	10	+20	-1.1	68
2	Castellon	36	17	10	9	+17	+6.0	61
3	Almeria	35	18	7	10	+15	+1.6	61
4	La Coruna	35	17	10	8	+15	+2.4	61
5	Malaga	35	17	9	9	+17	+6.3	60
6	Las Palmas	36	16	12	8	+17	+2.4	60
7	Burgos	36	17	9	10	+11	+4.1	60
8	Eibar	36	16	10	10	+10	+7.4	58
9	Andorra	36	14	10	12	+5	+2.0	52
10	Sp Gijon	36	15	7	14	+4	+2.5	52
11	Cordoba	36	14	9	13	-4	+3.8	51
12	Ceuta	36	14	8	14	-13	-14.8	50
13	Albacete	36	12	11	13	+0	+1.1	47
14	Granada	36	11	12	13	+0	+0.7	45
15	Leganes	36	10	12	14	+0	+3.1	42
16	Sociedad B	36	11	8	17	-7	-9.3	41
17	Valladolid	36	10	10	16	-9	+2.2	40
18	Cadiz	36	10	8	18	-18	-7.4	38
19	Zaragoza	36	8	11	17	-16	+2.9	35
20	Mirandes	35	8	9	18	-19	-6.1	33
21	Huesca	36	8	9	19	-19	-0.4	33
22	Cultural Leonesa	36	8	8	20	-26	-9.2	32

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	19	13	4	2	+20	+10.4	43
2	Malaga	18	11	6	1	+18	+5.3	39
3	Castellon	18	12	3	3	+17	+1.3	39
4	Almeria	17	12	2	3	+19	+6.7	38
5	Santander	18	12	2	4	+18	+3.7	38
6	Las Palmas	19	11	5	3	+18	+3.2	38
7	Sp Gijon	19	10	6	3	+12	+3.3	36
8	Ceuta	17	11	2	4	+7	+0.4	35
9	Burgos	18	9	6	3	+12	+5.4	33
10	La Coruna	17	8	5	4	+6	+1.4	29
11	Andorra	18	7	6	5	+5	+2.9	27
12	Granada	18	6	8	4	+7	+3.5	26
13	Sociedad B	18	7	5	6	+2	-1.4	26
14	Huesca	18	6	7	5	+0	+1.1	25
15	Cordoba	17	7	4	6	-1	+1.1	25
16	Albacete	18	7	4	7	-2	-1.1	25
17	Leganes	17	6	5	6	+4	+7.5	23
18	Valladolid	18	6	5	7	+1	+4.0	23
19	Cadiz	18	6	2	10	-8	-1.9	20
20	Zaragoza	18	4	6	8	-8	+6.1	18
21	Mirandes	18	4	5	9	-11	-3.0	17
22	Cultural Leonesa	18	3	4	11	-16	+1.9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	18	9	5	4	+9	+1.0	32
2	Santander	18	9	3	6	+2	-4.8	30
3	Burgos	18	8	3	7	-1	-1.3	27
4	Cordoba	19	7	5	7	-3	+2.7	26
5	Andorra	18	7	4	7	+0	-0.9	25
6	Almeria	18	6	5	7	-4	-5.1	23
7	Albacete	18	5	7	6	+2	+2.2	22
8	Castellon	18	5	7	6	+0	+4.7	22
9	Las Palmas	17	5	7	5	-1	-0.8	22
10	Malaga	17	6	3	8	-1	+0.9	21
11	Leganes	19	4	7	8	-4	-4.4	19
12	Granada	18	5	4	9	-7	-2.9	19
13	Cultural Leonesa	18	5	4	9	-10	-11.1	19
14	Cadiz	18	4	6	8	-10	-5.5	18
15	Zaragoza	18	4	5	9	-8	-3.2	17
16	Valladolid	18	4	5	9	-10	-1.9	17
17	Mirandes	17	4	4	9	-8	-3.1	16
18	Sp Gijon	17	5	1	11	-8	-0.9	16
19	Sociedad B	18	4	3	11	-9	-7.9	15
20	Eibar	17	3	6	8	-10	-3.1	15
21	Ceuta	19	3	6	10	-20	-15.2	15
22	Huesca	18	2	2	14	-19	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.