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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Malaga
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Sp Gijon
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
14%
36%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 22. · Sp Gijon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Burgos 15 7 6 2 +8 27
3 Las Palmas 14 7 5 2 +9 26
4 Eibar 14 7 4 3 +5 25
5 Cartagena 14 7 3 4 +5 24
6 Levante 14 6 5 3 +5 23
7 Huesca 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Granada 15 6 4 5 +4 22
9 Albacete 14 5 7 2 +3 22
10 Andorra 15 6 3 6 +2 21
11 Sp Gijon 14 5 5 4 +1 20
12 Leganes 15 6 2 7 +0 20
13 Villarreal B 15 5 5 5 -1 20
14 Santander 15 4 6 5 -2 18
15 Tenerife 15 4 5 6 -2 17
16 Zaragoza 15 4 4 7 -4 16
17 Oviedo 15 4 4 7 -4 16
18 Ponferradina 15 4 4 7 -7 16
19 Lugo 14 3 4 7 -4 13
20 Mirandes 15 2 7 6 -6 13
21 Ibiza 15 3 3 9 -12 12
22 Malaga 14 2 3 9 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Sp Gijon
Juande Rivas 🟨
10′
Luis Muñoz 🟨
14′
32′
Cristo González 0–1
Pol Valentín
37′
🟨 Víctor Campuzano
41′
🟨 José Ángel
Pablo Hervías 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
Aleix Febas 🔁
↦ Alberto Escassi
46′
46′
🔁 Guille Rosas
↦ J. Otero
Ramón Enríquez 🔁
↦ Luis Muñoz
57′
P. Chavarría 🔁
↦ Pablo Hervías
60′
62′
🟨 Cristian Rivera
64′
🔁 Dani Queipo
↦ J. Carrillo
64′
🔁 U. Đurđević
↦ Cristo González
68′
🔁 Nacho Martín
↦ Víctor Campuzano
78′
🟨 Guille Rosas
Fran Sol 🔁
↦ Loren Zúñiga
78′
Juanfran 🔁
↦ Jonás Ramalho
78′
80′
🔁 David Argüelles
↦ Pol Valentín
1–1 Juande Rivas
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
13 Rubén Yáñez G
22 Jonás Ramalho D
23 Alberto Escassi D
5 Juande Rivas D
4 Unai Bustinza D
14 Pablo Hervías M
8 Luis Muñoz M
18 A. N'Diaye M
39 Cristian Gutiérrez M
24 Rubén Castro F
29 Loren Zúñiga F
Bench (12)
10 Aleix Febas
6 Ramón Enríquez
12 P. Chavarría
9 Fran Sol
2 Juanfran
3 Javi Jiménez
15 L. Agbenyenu
1 Manolo Reina
16 Genaro Rodríguez
19 Jozabed
26 Dani Lorenzo
31 Andrés Caro

Coach: Pepe Mel

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
13 Diego Mariño G
22 Pol Valentín D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
3 Cote D
19 J. Otero M
18 G. Zarfino M
17 Christian Rivera M
20 J. Carrillo M
12 Cristo González F
11 Víctor Campuzano F
Bench (9)
2 Guille Rosas
30 Dani Queipo
23 U. Đurđević
33 Nacho Martín
27 David Argüelles
32 Diego Sánchez
21 U. Milovanović
1 Iván Cuéllar
29 Jordi Pola

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,00
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.