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Premiership

Referee: D Robertson

St Mirren

S S T T T

0–3

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

31%

63%

Both score Ø 46%

37%

54%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,78 xG 1,15

59% Possession 41%

12 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 11. · Kilmarnock 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	35	23	7	5	+32	+13.6	76
2	Celtic	35	23	4	8	+27	+23.8	73
3	Rangers	35	19	12	4	+33	+21.2	69
4	Motherwell	35	15	12	8	+23	+9.4	57
5	Hibernian	35	13	12	10	+12	+0.1	51
6	Falkirk	35	14	7	14	-4	+3.8	49
7	Dundee United	35	10	13	12	-9	-10.8	43
8	Dundee	36	10	9	17	-18	-11.4	39
9	Aberdeen	35	10	7	18	-14	-15.0	37
10	Kilmarnock	35	7	10	18	-26	-14.4	31
11	St Mirren	35	7	9	19	-24	-3.4	30
12	Livingston	36	2	14	20	-32	-17.1	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	18	14	4	0	+23	+7.8	46
2	Celtic	17	13	1	3	+24	+15.7	40
3	Rangers	18	11	5	2	+19	+16.1	38
4	Motherwell	17	10	5	2	+20	+12.1	35
5	Hibernian	18	8	6	4	+14	+5.4	30
6	Dundee	18	8	4	6	+2	-6.3	28
7	Dundee United	18	7	6	5	+2	-3.0	27
8	Falkirk	18	7	5	6	+4	+6.2	26
9	Aberdeen	17	6	5	6	+5	-5.2	23
10	Kilmarnock	18	6	4	8	-2	-0.5	22
11	St Mirren	17	5	5	7	-8	+1.8	20
12	Livingston	17	1	8	8	-9	-5.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	18	10	3	5	+3	+8.1	33
2	Rangers	17	8	7	2	+14	+5.1	31
3	Hearts	17	9	3	5	+9	+5.8	30
4	Falkirk	17	7	2	8	-8	-2.4	23
5	Motherwell	18	5	7	6	+3	-2.7	22
6	Hibernian	17	5	6	6	-2	-5.3	21
7	Dundee United	17	3	7	7	-11	-7.8	16
8	Aberdeen	18	4	2	12	-19	-9.8	14
9	Dundee	18	2	5	11	-20	-5.1	11
10	St Mirren	18	2	4	12	-16	-5.1	10
11	Livingston	19	1	6	12	-23	-11.5	9
12	Kilmarnock	17	1	6	10	-24	-13.9	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.