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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Red Star
U S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Montpellier
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 32/33 matches
Win Ø 45%
47%
42%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
53%
30%
Both score Ø 43%
47%
39%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Red Star 5. · Montpellier 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 33 20 7 6 +28 67
2 Le Mans 33 15 14 4 +17 59
3 St Etienne 33 17 6 10 +16 57
4 Rodez 33 14 13 6 +5 55
5 Red Star 32 15 9 8 +8 54
6 Reims 33 13 14 6 +16 53
7 Annecy 33 15 7 11 +11 52
8 Montpellier 33 14 8 11 +10 50
9 Pau FC 33 12 9 12 -12 45
10 Dunkerque 33 11 10 12 +9 43
11 Guingamp 33 10 10 13 -6 40
12 Grenoble 33 7 15 11 -7 36
13 Boulogne 33 9 9 15 -14 36
14 Clermont 33 8 10 15 -7 34
15 Nancy 33 8 10 15 -18 34
16 Laval 33 5 14 14 -19 29
17 Bastia 32 5 13 14 -14 28
18 Amiens 33 6 6 21 -23 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Aug -25 Montpellier – Red Star 1–1

Match report

Red Star Montpellier
37′
🟨 Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
1–0 K. Cabral
J. Ikanga
43′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 T. Sainte-Luce
↦ L. Mincarelli
60′
🔁 R. Thiland Herard
↦ E. Molebe
Josue Escartin 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 N. Mbuku
↦ N. Homssa
H. Benali 🔁
↦ J. Ikanga
64′
A. Hachem 🔁
↦ K. Cabral
64′
G. Haag 🔁
↦ D. Durand
68′
72′
🔁 N. El Hannach
↦ E. Tchato
73′
🔁 T. Savanier
↦ C. Jullien
S. E. Khaoui 🔁
↦ T. Magnin
79′
P. M. Ba 🔁
↦ R. Hachem
79′
88′
N. Pays 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Red Star

3-5-2
16 G. Poussin G
20 D. Durivaux D
5 J. Escartin D
3 M. Huard D
2 T. Magnin M
4 B. Pierret M
27 B. Danger M
98 R. Hachem M
7 D. Durand M
23 J. Ikanga F
91 K. Cabral F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
10 S. E. Khaoui
81 G. Haag
29 H. Benali
21 A. Hachem
9 P. M. Ba
22 D. Sylla

Coach: Gregory Poirier

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
29 E. Tchato D
15 J. Laporte D
6 C. Jullien D
23 Y. Mouanga D
44 T. Chennahi M
20 N. Homssa M
18 N. Pays M
8 Y. Issoufou M
21 L. Mincarelli M
14 E. Molebe F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
17 T. Sainte-Luce
7 N. Mbuku
11 T. Savanier
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva
3 N. El Hannach
39 R. Thiland Herard

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U ✓
3,54
B
3,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.