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LaLiga2

Referee: L Bestard Servera

Eibar

S S U S S

2–4

Full-time

Malaga

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 46%

46%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

46%

59%

Both score Ø 51%

43%

59%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 6. · Malaga 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	37	21	6	10	+20	-1.1	69
2	La Coruna	38	19	11	8	+18	+1.2	68
3	Almeria	37	20	7	10	+18	+1.6	67
4	Castellon	38	18	10	10	+17	+5.9	64
5	Las Palmas	37	17	12	8	+18	+2.4	63
6	Eibar	37	17	10	10	+13	+6.4	61
7	Burgos	37	17	10	10	+11	+5.3	61
8	Malaga	37	17	9	11	+15	+6.3	60
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	-2	+4.1	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	+8	+2.0	55
11	Sp Gijon	37	15	7	15	+3	+2.3	52
12	Ceuta	37	14	9	14	-13	-14.8	51
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	-2	+2.0	50
14	Granada	38	12	12	14	-1	+0.7	48
15	Valladolid	37	11	10	16	-8	+2.2	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	-5	+3.1	42
17	Sociedad B	37	11	8	18	-8	-9.3	41
18	Cadiz	38	10	9	19	-19	-6.7	39
19	Huesca	37	9	9	19	-18	-0.4	36
20	Mirandes	37	9	9	19	-20	-4.5	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	-18	+2.9	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	-27	-11.5	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Eibar	19	13	4	2	+20	+10.4	43
2	Almeria	18	13	2	3	+20	+6.7	41
3	Malaga	19	11	6	2	+17	+5.3	39
4	Castellon	19	12	3	4	+16	+1.2	39
5	Santander	18	12	2	4	+18	+3.7	38
6	Las Palmas	19	11	5	3	+18	+3.2	38
7	Sp Gijon	19	10	6	3	+12	+3.3	36
8	Ceuta	18	11	3	4	+7	+0.4	36
9	La Coruna	19	10	5	4	+9	+1.4	35
10	Burgos	19	9	7	3	+12	+6.6	34
11	Huesca	19	7	7	5	+1	+1.1	28
12	Cordoba	18	8	4	6	+0	+1.3	28
13	Andorra	19	7	6	6	+4	+2.9	27
14	Granada	19	6	8	5	+5	+3.5	26
15	Sociedad B	18	7	5	6	+2	-1.4	26
16	Valladolid	19	7	5	7	+2	+4.0	26
17	Albacete	19	7	4	8	-5	-0.2	25
18	Leganes	18	6	5	7	+0	+7.5	23
19	Cadiz	19	6	2	11	-9	-1.9	20
20	Mirandes	19	5	5	9	-10	-1.4	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	6	9	-9	+6.1	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	19	3	5	11	-16	+1.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	19	9	6	4	+9	-0.3	33
2	Santander	19	9	4	6	+2	-4.8	31
3	Cordoba	20	8	5	7	-2	+2.8	29
4	Andorra	19	8	4	7	+4	-0.9	28
5	Burgos	18	8	3	7	-1	-1.3	27
6	Almeria	19	7	5	7	-2	-5.1	26
7	Albacete	19	6	7	6	+3	+2.2	25
8	Castellon	19	6	7	6	+1	+4.7	25
9	Las Palmas	18	6	7	5	+0	-0.8	25
10	Granada	19	6	4	9	-6	-2.9	22
11	Malaga	18	6	3	9	-2	+0.9	21
12	Leganes	20	4	7	9	-5	-4.4	19
13	Cadiz	19	4	7	8	-10	-4.8	19
14	Cultural Leonesa	19	5	4	10	-11	-12.7	19
15	Eibar	18	4	6	8	-7	-4.0	18
16	Zaragoza	19	4	5	10	-9	-3.2	17
17	Valladolid	18	4	5	9	-10	-1.9	17
18	Sp Gijon	18	5	1	12	-9	-1.0	16
19	Mirandes	18	4	4	10	-10	-3.1	16
20	Sociedad B	19	4	3	12	-10	-7.9	15
21	Ceuta	19	3	6	10	-20	-15.2	15
22	Huesca	18	2	2	14	-19	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.