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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Tirol

T U U S T

1–1

Full-time

BW Linz

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol BW Linz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

53%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,76 xG 0,38

36% Possession 64%

8 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

17 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 8. · BW Linz 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	30	15	7	8	+10	+13.2	52
2	Sturm Graz	30	14	8	8	+12	+8.2	50
3	Salzburg	30	13	9	8	+18	+9.9	48
4	SK Rapid	30	12	8	10	-1	-2.1	44
5	Austria Vienna	30	13	5	12	-4	+0.2	44
6	Ried	30	12	6	12	-1	+1.5	42
7	Hartberg	30	9	12	9	+0	-13.6	39
8	Tirol	30	10	9	11	-10	+0.6	39
9	Altach	30	9	11	10	-5	-6.3	38
10	Wolfsberger AC	30	9	8	13	-4	-14.6	35
11	Grazer AK	30	8	9	13	-6	-1.0	33
12	BW Linz	30	8	4	18	-9	+3.9	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	15	9	3	3	+8	+10.5	30
2	Ried	15	8	3	4	+4	+4.2	27
3	Altach	15	7	6	2	+4	+1.1	27
4	Tirol	15	7	4	4	+3	+3.2	25
5	Grazer AK	15	6	6	3	+6	+2.8	24
6	SK Rapid	15	7	2	6	+1	-0.8	23
7	Salzburg	15	6	4	5	+8	+5.0	22
8	BW Linz	15	7	1	7	+8	+7.3	22
9	Wolfsberger AC	15	5	6	4	+3	-3.5	21
10	Austria Vienna	15	6	3	6	-5	+1.3	21
11	Sturm Graz	15	5	5	5	-2	+3.9	20
12	Hartberg	15	4	5	6	-4	-4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	15	9	3	3	+14	+4.3	30
2	Salzburg	15	7	5	3	+10	+4.9	26
3	Austria Vienna	15	7	2	6	+1	-1.1	23
4	Hartberg	15	5	7	3	+4	-9.0	22
5	LASK	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.7	22
6	SK Rapid	15	5	6	4	-2	-1.3	21
7	Ried	15	4	3	8	-5	-2.7	15
8	Wolfsberger AC	15	4	2	9	-7	-11.1	14
9	Tirol	15	3	5	7	-13	-2.6	14
10	Altach	15	2	5	8	-9	-7.4	11
11	Grazer AK	15	2	3	10	-12	-3.9	9
12	BW Linz	15	1	3	11	-17	-3.4	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.