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Super League
Referee: Johannes von Mandach
St. Gallen
T S S T T
1–0
Full-time
Lausanne
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lausanne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 45%
58%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
83%
85%
Both score Ø 76%
67%
85%
Average goals
3,6
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,9
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,99 xG 1,85
35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match St. Gallen 5. · Lausanne 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 14 10 1 3 +11 -1.6 31
2 Young Boys 14 7 4 3 +7 -0.4 25
3 Basel 13 7 1 5 +6 +8.6 22
4 Lugano 13 7 1 5 +1 +0.3 22
5 St. Gallen 12 7 0 5 +9 +3.2 21
6 Sion 14 5 5 4 +3 +5.8 20
7 Luzern 14 4 6 4 +4 -0.3 18
8 Zurich 14 5 2 7 -6 +2.9 17
9 Lausanne 13 4 4 5 +4 +4.0 16
10 Servette 14 4 3 7 -5 +0.4 15
11 Grasshoppers 13 3 4 6 -9 -10.5 13
12 Winterthur 14 1 3 10 -25 -12.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Lausanne
Lukas Görtler 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Kevin Mouanga
Lukas Görtler 🟨
39′
Lukas Görtler 🟥
39′
L. Daschner 🔁
↦ M. Efekele
41′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 G. Sigua
↦ N. Beloko
58′
🔁 B. Lekoueiry
↦ F. Mollet
59′
🔁 M. Poaty
↦ S. Fofana
66′
🟨 Morgan Poaty
Lukas Daschner 🟨
72′
C. Witzig 🔁
↦ H. Vandermersch
73′
A. Balde 🔁
↦ A. Vogt
73′
81′
🔁 N. Butler-Oyedeji
↦ O. Custodio
88′
🟨 Abdou Karim Sow
89′
🔁 A. Ajdini
↦ G. Diakite
1–0 C. Boukhalfa
89′
91′
🟨 Abdou Karim Sow
91′
🟥 Abdou Karim Sow
S. Ambrosius 🔁
↦ C. May
92′
Behar Neziri 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St. Gallen

3-1-4-2
1 L. Ati Zigi G
26 T. Gaal D
4 J. Stanic D
72 C. May D
6 B. Neziri M
28 H. Vandermersch M
11 C. Boukhalfa M
16 L. Gortler M
36 C. Okoroji M
18 A. Vogt F
21 M. Efekele F
Bench (9)
25 L. Watkowiak
5 S. Ambrosius
7 C. Witzig
8 J. Quintilla
10 L. Daschner
14 A. Balde
20 A. Vallci
64 M. Stevanovic
77 T. Ouattara

Coach: Enrico Maaßen

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
2 B. Soppy D
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
93 S. Fofana D
10 O. Custodio M
8 J. Roche M
16 N. Beloko M
91 F. Mollet M
70 G. Diakite F
9 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
5 B. Okoh
7 A. Ajdini
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji
18 M. Poaty
20 H. Abdallah
22 E. Kana-Biyik
27 B. Lekoueiry
38 G. Sigua

Coach: Peter Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.