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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
Karlsruhe
T S T S T
2–3
Full-time
Elversberg
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,5
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
50%
58%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,68 xG 3,50
53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 26
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 7. · Elversberg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paderborn 13 9 2 2 +8 +2.0 29
2 Schalke 04 13 9 1 3 +9 +2.9 28
3 Darmstadt 13 7 4 2 +10 +5.3 25
4 Hannover 13 7 3 3 +6 +1.9 24
5 Elversberg 12 7 2 3 +13 -3.0 23
6 Hertha 13 7 2 4 +6 -1.0 23
7 Karlsruhe 12 6 3 3 +1 -3.3 21
8 Kaiserslautern 12 6 2 4 +6 +0.4 20
9 Bielefeld 12 5 2 5 +7 +1.6 17
10 Holstein Kiel 12 4 3 5 +1 -1.0 15
11 Nurnberg 12 4 3 5 -3 +0.5 15
12 Preußen Münster 13 4 3 6 -4 -2.3 15
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 4 2 7 -9 -4.4 14
14 Bochum 13 4 1 8 -3 +3.0 13
15 Greuther Furth 13 4 1 8 -14 -2.2 13
16 Dresden 13 2 4 7 -7 -1.1 10
17 Braunschweig 13 3 1 9 -13 +0.2 10
18 Magdeburg 13 2 1 10 -14 +0.4 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Elversberg
26′
Y. Ebnoutalib 0–1
B. Conte
Nicolai Rapp 🟨
42′
Dženis Burnić 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
S. Jung 🔁
↦ R. Pinto Pedrosa
46′
R. Simic 🔁
↦ E. Laghrissi
46′
61′
🟨 Jan Gyamerah
1–1 R. Simic
61′
63′
🔁 F. Schmahl
↦ A. Conde
63′
🔁 F. Keidel
↦ L. Gunther
66′
L. Petkov 1–2
F. Schmahl
Christoph Kobald 🟨
71′
L. Opitz 🔁
↦ N. Rapp
72′
S. Fukuda 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
80′
2–2 R. Simic
D. Herold
83′
84′
🔁 J. Malanga
↦ T. Zimmerschied
84′
🔁 L. Schnellbacher
↦ Y. Ebnoutalib
90′
F. Keidel 2–3
L. Schnellbacher
91′
🔁 N. Mickelson
↦ J. Gyamerah
Full-time 2–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U
3,59
B ✓
2,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.