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LaLiga2

Referee: Carlos Muniz Munoz

Burgos

T S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Castellon

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

58%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

67%

58%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 5. · Castellon 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	13	8	1	4	+8	-1.0	25
2	La Coruna	13	6	5	2	+12	+1.5	23
3	Las Palmas	13	6	5	2	+7	+1.2	23
4	Almeria	12	6	4	2	+5	+1.0	22
5	Burgos	12	6	3	3	+7	+2.8	21
6	Cadiz	13	5	6	2	+2	-1.1	21
7	Valladolid	13	5	5	3	+4	+3.9	20
8	Cordoba	13	5	5	3	+2	+0.4	20
9	Sp Gijon	13	6	1	6	-1	-0.7	19
10	Ceuta	12	5	3	4	-3	-1.6	18
11	Andorra	13	4	5	4	-3	+1.4	17
12	Eibar	13	4	4	5	+0	-0.5	16
13	Albacete	13	4	4	5	-3	-1.7	16
14	Leganes	13	3	6	4	+1	-0.0	15
15	Castellon	12	4	3	5	+0	+0.1	15
16	Sociedad B	13	4	3	6	-1	+0.8	15
17	Malaga	13	4	3	6	-1	-1.3	15
18	Huesca	13	4	3	6	-6	+0.9	15
19	Granada	13	3	5	5	-3	+0.2	14
20	Cultural Leonesa	13	4	2	7	-4	-3.9	14
21	Mirandes	13	3	3	7	-7	-0.5	12
22	Zaragoza	13	1	3	9	-16	-2.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	7	5	0	2	+7	-0.4	15
2	Sociedad B	7	4	3	0	+7	+0.4	15
3	Eibar	7	4	3	0	+7	+0.5	15
4	Cadiz	7	4	2	1	+2	-0.1	14
5	Almeria	6	4	1	1	+5	+1.0	13
6	Las Palmas	7	4	1	2	+4	+0.5	13
7	Sp Gijon	7	4	1	2	+2	-0.7	13
8	La Coruna	6	3	3	0	+8	+1.2	12
9	Malaga	7	3	3	1	+6	-1.1	12
10	Ceuta	5	4	0	1	+4	–	12
11	Huesca	7	3	3	1	+2	-0.4	12
12	Burgos	6	3	2	1	+5	+3.1	11
13	Valladolid	7	3	2	2	+4	+3.8	11
14	Cordoba	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.7	11
15	Andorra	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.1	9
16	Castellon	6	2	2	2	+1	+0.1	8
17	Granada	7	2	2	3	+0	+1.7	8
18	Albacete	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.3	7
19	Leganes	6	1	2	3	-1	+0.4	5
20	Cultural Leonesa	6	1	2	3	-3	+0.5	5
21	Mirandes	6	1	1	4	-7	–	4
22	Zaragoza	6	0	2	4	-10	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.4	11
2	Las Palmas	6	2	4	0	+3	+0.7	10
3	Burgos	6	3	1	2	+2	-0.4	10
4	Leganes	7	2	4	1	+2	-0.4	10
5	Santander	6	3	1	2	+1	-0.5	10
6	Albacete	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.5	9
7	Cordoba	7	2	3	2	+0	+1.1	9
8	Almeria	6	2	3	1	+0	–	9
9	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.1	9
10	Cultural Leonesa	7	3	0	4	-1	-4.3	9
11	Mirandes	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.5	8
12	Andorra	7	2	2	3	-5	+0.4	8
13	Cadiz	6	1	4	1	+0	-1.1	7
14	Castellon	6	2	1	3	-1	–	7
15	Sp Gijon	6	2	0	4	-3	–	6
16	Granada	6	1	3	2	-3	-1.5	6
17	Ceuta	7	1	3	3	-7	-1.6	6
18	Zaragoza	7	1	1	5	-6	-1.7	4
19	Malaga	6	1	0	5	-7	-0.1	3
20	Huesca	6	1	0	5	-8	+1.3	3
21	Eibar	6	0	1	5	-7	-1.0	1
22	Sociedad B	6	0	0	6	-8	+0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.