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Süper Lig

Referee: Atilla Karaoglan

Besiktas

T S U T S

1–1

Full-time

Samsunspor

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,61 xG 1,73

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 7. · Samsunspor 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	13	10	2	1	+20	+17.0	32
2	Fenerbahce	12	8	4	0	+15	+15.2	28
3	Trabzonspor	12	7	4	1	+10	+0.3	25
4	Goztep	13	6	5	2	+9	+3.1	23
5	Samsunspor	12	6	5	1	+7	+7.9	23
6	Gaziantep	13	6	4	3	+0	+1.8	22
7	Besiktas	12	6	2	4	+5	+10.7	20
8	Alanyaspor	12	3	6	3	+0	-4.9	15
9	Kocaelispor	13	4	3	6	-4	-3.2	15
10	Konyaspor	12	4	2	6	-2	-2.7	14
11	Rizespor	12	3	5	4	-2	+0.7	14
12	Buyuksehyr	12	3	4	5	+2	-0.5	13
13	Antalyaspor	12	4	1	7	-10	-8.9	13
14	Genclerbirligi	13	3	2	8	-6	-8.3	11
15	Kasimpasa	12	2	4	6	-6	-7.6	10
16	Eyüpspor	13	2	3	8	-9	-5.8	9
17	Kayserispor	13	1	6	6	-18	-8.2	9
18	Karagumruk	13	2	2	9	-11	-6.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	5	2	0	+10	+9.0	17
2	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+8	+12.4	16
3	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	0	+8	+5.3	15
4	Goztep	6	3	3	0	+5	+2.1	12
5	Samsunspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+7.0	12
6	Kocaelispor	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.9	11
7	Gaziantep	7	3	2	2	-3	+3.4	11
8	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	+2	+5.7	9
9	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.2	8
10	Eyüpspor	7	2	2	3	-3	-1.4	8
11	Genclerbirligi	6	2	1	3	-2	+1.3	7
12	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-3	+4.1	7
13	Buyuksehyr	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
14	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-2	-0.5	6
15	Kayserispor	7	1	2	4	-12	-3.5	5
16	Karagumruk	7	1	1	5	-6	-1.1	4
17	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.6	4
18	Kasimpasa	6	0	3	3	-4	-1.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.0	15
2	Fenerbahce	6	3	3	0	+7	+2.8	12
3	Samsunspor	5	3	2	0	+5	+0.9	11
4	Goztep	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.9	11
5	Besiktas	7	3	2	2	+3	+5.0	11
6	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+3	-1.6	11
7	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-5.0	10
8	Antalyaspor	6	3	0	3	-1	-6.3	9
9	Konyaspor	6	2	2	2	+0	-2.3	8
10	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	+2	-0.3	7
11	Rizespor	6	1	4	1	+1	-3.4	7
12	Alanyaspor	7	1	4	2	-2	-3.7	7
13	Kasimpasa	6	2	1	3	-2	-5.7	7
14	Genclerbirligi	7	1	1	5	-4	-9.7	4
15	Karagumruk	6	1	1	4	-5	-5.4	4
16	Kayserispor	6	0	4	2	-6	-4.7	4
17	Kocaelispor	7	1	1	5	-7	-6.1	4
18	Eyüpspor	6	0	1	5	-6	-4.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.