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LaLiga2
Referee: Alejandro Quintero
Burgos
U T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Santander
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 23%
21%
24%
Both score Ø 33%
27%
39%
Average goals
1,4
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 8. · Santander 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 33 18 9 6 +12 63
2 Granada 33 18 7 8 +21 61
3 Levante 34 15 15 4 +14 60
4 Las Palmas 33 15 14 4 +17 59
5 Alaves 33 16 9 8 +13 57
6 Albacete 33 13 13 7 +6 52
7 Cartagena 33 13 8 12 +2 47
8 Burgos 33 11 13 9 +3 46
9 Villarreal B 33 12 9 12 -2 45
10 Huesca 33 9 16 8 +2 43
11 Andorra 33 11 8 14 +4 41
12 Tenerife 33 10 11 12 -1 41
13 Mirandes 33 10 11 12 -3 41
14 Zaragoza 34 9 14 11 -3 41
15 Leganes 33 10 10 13 -5 40
16 Oviedo 33 10 9 14 -6 39
17 Sp Gijon 33 8 14 11 -4 38
18 Santander 33 9 11 13 -4 38
19 Ponferradina 33 7 13 13 -13 34
20 Malaga 33 6 12 15 -9 30
21 Ibiza 33 6 10 17 -21 28
22 Lugo 33 5 10 18 -23 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Nov -22 Santander – Burgos 0–1

Match report

Burgos Santander
25′
🟨 Dani Fernández
1–0 Miki Muñoz
43′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Germán Sánchez
2–0 Curro Sánchez
Pablo Valcarce
51′
60′
🔁 Yeray Cabanzón
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
60′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ Jorge Pombo
69′
🔁 Matheus Aiás
↦ R. Baturina
69′
🔁 Peque Fernández
↦ Marco Sangalli
Álex Bermejo 🔁
↦ Juan Hernández
70′
Pablo Valcarce 🟨
73′
David Goldar 🟨
75′
76′
J. Elitim 2–1
79′
🔁 C. Omoigui
↦ Íñigo Sainz Maza
Sergio Castel 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
81′
Raúl Navarro 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
81′
Borja González 🔁
↦ Curro Sánchez
85′
Fran García 🔁
↦ José Matos
85′
89′
🟨 Iñigo Vicente
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burgos

5-4-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
21 David Goldar D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
22 Miki Muñoz M
5 Miguel Atienza M
15 Juan Hernández M
8 Pablo Valcarce F
Bench (9)
10 Álex Bermejo
12 Sergio Castel
6 Raúl Navarro
2 Borja González
3 Fran García
9 Mourad
4 Míchel Zabaco
1 Dani Barrio
7 Juan Artola

Coach: Julián Calero

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
23 Dani Fernández D
16 Germán Sánchez D
4 Pol Moreno D
18 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz Maza M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
25 Marco Sangalli M
24 Jorge Pombo M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
11 R. Baturina F
Bench (12)
41 Yeray Cabanzón
20 J. Elitim
19 Matheus Aiás
29 Peque Fernández
9 C. Omoigui
2 Álvaro Mantilla
8 Fausto Tienza
22 Arturo Molina
13 Jokin Ezkieta
3 Eneko Satrústegui
12 S. Gassama
17 Unai Medina

Coach: Guillermo Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
2,83
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,96
U2,5
1,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Quintero · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.