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Pro League

Referee: Bert Verbeke

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

St Truiden

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,48 xG 2,31

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 1

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10. · St Truiden 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+19	+15.3	26
2	Club Brugge	10	8	1	1	+8	+3.2	25
3	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+6	-2.2	19
4	Gent	9	6	1	2	+5	+2.4	19
5	Anderlecht	10	5	3	2	+7	+7.1	18
6	St Truiden	9	5	2	2	+3	+8.0	17
7	Waregem	12	5	2	5	+0	-6.5	17
8	Genk	9	3	3	3	+0	+1.9	12
9	RAAL La Louviere	12	3	3	6	-5	-7.9	12
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.6	11
11	Cercle Brugge	12	2	4	6	-4	+0.7	10
12	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-4	+0.1	10
13	Charleroi	10	3	1	6	-4	-2.4	10
14	Antwerp	10	2	3	5	-3	-4.4	9
15	Standard	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.9	6
16	Dender	12	1	2	9	-14	-7.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.2	13
3	Gent	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.0	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
7	Antwerp	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.7	8
8	RAAL La Louviere	6	2	2	2	-1	-4.2	8
9	Genk	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.7	7
10	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.1	7
11	Mechelen	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
12	Westerlo	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.9	5
13	Cercle Brugge	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.9	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	+2	-0.9	4
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	4	0	0	4	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mechelen	7	4	2	1	+5	-3.1	14
2	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
3	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
4	Anderlecht	5	3	1	1	+4	+2.6	10
5	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.7	7
6	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
8	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
9	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
10	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
11	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.7	5
12	Dender	8	1	2	5	-8	-5.5	5
13	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	-4	-3.7	4
14	Charleroi	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.3	3
15	Standard	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.3	3
16	Antwerp	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.