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LaLiga2

Referee: Iván Caparrós

Burgos

S U T U T

2–1

Full-time

Santander

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Santander

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 43%

41%

44%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

56%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 11. · Santander 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	35	17	11	7	+26	62
2	Eibar	35	17	7	11	+17	58
3	Espanol	35	15	13	7	+15	58
4	Valladolid	35	17	7	11	+10	58
5	Oviedo	35	14	13	8	+15	55
6	Sp Gijon	35	15	10	10	+9	55
7	Santander	34	15	8	11	+6	53
8	Elche	34	15	8	11	+4	53
9	Levante	35	12	15	8	+2	51
10	Ferrol	34	13	12	9	+1	51
11	Burgos	34	14	8	12	-2	50
12	Tenerife	35	12	9	14	-4	45
13	Huesca	34	9	15	10	+6	42
14	Eldense	35	10	12	13	-9	42
15	Zaragoza	34	10	11	13	+0	41
16	Cartagena	35	10	9	16	-14	39
17	Mirandes	35	9	11	15	-10	38
18	Amorebieta	35	9	10	16	-10	37
19	Alcorcon	34	9	10	15	-18	37
20	Albacete	35	8	12	15	-10	36
21	Andorra	35	9	8	18	-15	35
22	Villarreal B	34	8	9	17	-19	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	18	12	4	2	+19	40
2	Burgos	17	11	6	0	+18	39
3	Oviedo	18	10	7	1	+17	37
4	Espanol	17	10	6	1	+17	36
5	Sp Gijon	18	10	6	2	+13	36
6	Santander	17	11	2	4	+14	35
7	Eibar	17	10	4	3	+19	34
8	Leganes	18	9	7	2	+19	34
9	Levante	18	9	6	3	+4	33
10	Elche	17	9	5	3	+10	32
11	Ferrol	17	8	8	1	+9	32
12	Tenerife	17	9	4	4	+7	31
13	Albacete	18	7	7	4	+5	28
14	Villarreal B	17	7	5	5	+1	26
15	Mirandes	17	7	4	6	+3	25
16	Eldense	17	6	7	4	+2	25
17	Zaragoza	17	7	3	7	+4	24
18	Andorra	17	7	3	7	+0	24
19	Amorebieta	18	6	5	7	+4	23
20	Huesca	17	5	6	6	+3	21
21	Alcorcon	17	4	8	5	-4	20
22	Cartagena	17	6	1	10	-9	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	17	8	4	5	+7	28
2	Eibar	18	7	3	8	-2	24
3	Espanol	18	5	7	6	-2	22
4	Huesca	17	4	9	4	+3	21
5	Elche	17	6	3	8	-6	21
6	Cartagena	18	4	8	6	-5	20
7	Sp Gijon	17	5	4	8	-4	19
8	Ferrol	17	5	4	8	-8	19
9	Levante	17	3	9	5	-2	18
10	Oviedo	17	4	6	7	-2	18
11	Santander	17	4	6	7	-8	18
12	Valladolid	17	5	3	9	-9	18
13	Zaragoza	17	3	8	6	-4	17
14	Eldense	18	4	5	9	-11	17
15	Alcorcon	17	5	2	10	-14	17
16	Tenerife	18	3	5	10	-11	14
17	Amorebieta	17	3	5	9	-14	14
18	Mirandes	18	2	7	9	-13	13
19	Andorra	18	2	5	11	-15	11
20	Burgos	17	3	2	12	-20	11
21	Albacete	17	1	5	11	-15	8
22	Villarreal B	17	1	4	12	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.