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Super League
AEK
S T S U S
1–0
Full-time
Aris
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
70%
30%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
10%
30%
Both score Ø 35%
20%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
10 Corners 1
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 3. · Aris 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 10 1 1 +20 31
2 PAOK 11 8 2 1 +16 26
3 AEK 10 7 1 2 +4 22
4 Levadeiakos 11 5 4 2 +14 19
5 Panathinaikos 11 5 4 2 +6 19
6 Volos NFC 11 6 0 5 -2 18
7 Panetolikos 12 4 3 5 -2 15
8 Aris Thessalonikis 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Aris 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Kifisia 12 3 3 6 -5 12
11 Asteras Tripolis 12 1 6 5 -4 9
12 Atromitos 12 2 3 7 -5 9
13 OFI Crete 10 3 0 7 -8 9
14 Larisa 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Panserraikos 12 1 3 8 -21 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
U
4,03
B
6,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.