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Super League
Referee: Angelos Evangelou
Panserraikos
S T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Panathinaikos
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panserraikos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
9%
40%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
45%
30%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panserraikos 15. · Panathinaikos 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 10 1 1 +20 31
2 PAOK 10 7 2 1 +13 23
3 AEK 10 7 1 2 +4 22
4 Levadeiakos 11 5 4 2 +14 19
5 Volos NFC 11 6 0 5 -2 18
6 Panathinaikos 10 4 4 2 +3 16
7 Panetolikos 12 4 3 5 -2 15
8 Aris Thessalonikis 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Aris 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Kifisia 11 3 3 5 -2 12
11 Asteras Tripolis 12 1 6 5 -4 9
12 Atromitos 12 2 3 7 -5 9
13 OFI Crete 10 3 0 7 -8 9
14 Larisa 10 1 4 5 -9 7
15 Panserraikos 11 1 3 7 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panserraikos Panathinaikos
Igor Kalinin 🟨
14′
30′
🟨 Pedro Chirivella
40′
A. Zaroury 0–1
Tete
42′
🔁 A. Gnezda Cerin
↦ P. Chirivella
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Kotsaris
↦ A. Lafont
B. A. Galvan 🔁
↦ E. Brooks
57′
A. Maras 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
57′
60′
T. Jedvaj 0–2
Tete
Giannis Doiranlis 🟨
63′
M. Tsaousis 🔁
↦ I. Kalinin
66′
S. Omeonga 🔁
↦ G. Doiranlis
66′
69′
A. Bakasetas 0–3
M. Pantovic
73′
🔁 K. Swiderski
↦ M. Pantovic
Z. Banjaqui 🔁
81′
82′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ Tete
83′
🔁 I. G. Bokos
↦ A. Zaroury
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Panserraikos

4-4-2
77 F. Tinaglini G
19 L. Lyratzis D
30 Volnei D
81 V. De Marco D
88 I. Kalinin D
7 C. Nunnely M
8 A. Liasos M
24 G. Doiranlis M
10 A. Green M
28 E. Brooks F
80 N. Karelis F
Bench (12)
20 A. Tsompanidis
5 I. Gelashvili
23 C. Georgiadis
4 A. Karasalidis
14 M. Tsaousis
11 Z. Banjaqui
16 B. A. Galvan
6 M. Guillaumier
40 S. Omeonga
63 V. Rumyantsev
18 M. Fale
99 A. Maras

Coach: Cristiano Bacci

Panathinaikos

4-2-2-2
40 A. Lafont G
21 T. Jedvaj D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
5 A. Touba D
25 F. Mladenovic D
4 P. Chirivella M
6 M. Siopis M
10 Tete M
9 A. Zaroury M
11 A. Bakasetas F
72 M. Pantovic F
Bench (11)
70 K. Kotsaris
41 L. Stamellos
15 S. I. Ingason
16 A. Gnezda Cerin
17 D. Mancini
19 K. Swiderski
20 V. Taborda
26 E. Fikaj
39 I. G. Bokos
44 G. Nikas
52 T. Vilhena

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,95
U
4,58
B ✓
1,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.