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Superligaen

Referee: M Redder

Sonderjyske

S U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Midtjylland

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,7

2,8

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,5

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

53%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,1

3,6

Scored

1,6

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,51 xG 0,94

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sonderjyske 6. · Midtjylland 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	16	10	4	2	+15	+14.5	34
2	Midtjylland	15	9	5	1	+22	+2.1	32
3	Brondby	16	10	1	5	+13	+8.7	31
4	FC Copenhagen	16	8	4	4	+8	+13.4	28
5	Viborg	16	7	1	8	+2	-2.8	22
6	Sonderjyske	15	6	4	5	+2	-1.9	22
7	Nordsjaelland	16	7	0	9	-2	-0.7	21
8	Odense	15	5	4	6	-10	+3.9	19
9	Silkeborg	16	5	3	8	-9	-10.5	18
10	Randers FC	15	5	2	8	-6	+0.5	17
11	Fredericia	16	3	2	11	-22	-16.2	11
12	Vejle	16	2	4	10	-13	-11.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	8	5	3	0	+13	+5.1	18
2	Brondby	8	5	1	2	+7	+4.3	16
3	Aarhus	8	5	1	2	+6	+13.4	16
4	Sonderjyske	7	4	1	2	+5	+0.8	13
5	FC Copenhagen	8	3	4	1	+3	+9.1	13
6	Viborg	8	4	0	4	+2	-2.9	12
7	Nordsjaelland	8	4	0	4	+2	+3.6	12
8	Odense	8	3	2	3	-4	+4.3	11
9	Silkeborg	8	3	1	4	-3	-1.0	10
10	Randers FC	7	3	1	3	-3	-1.6	10
11	Vejle	8	2	2	4	-1	-3.4	8
12	Fredericia	8	2	1	5	-10	-6.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Aarhus	8	5	3	0	+9	+1.1	18
2	Brondby	8	5	0	3	+6	+4.4	15
3	FC Copenhagen	8	5	0	3	+5	+4.3	15
4	Midtjylland	7	4	2	1	+9	-3.0	14
5	Viborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+0.1	10
6	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.8	9
7	Nordsjaelland	8	3	0	5	-4	-4.3	9
8	Odense	7	2	2	3	-6	-0.4	8
9	Silkeborg	8	2	2	4	-6	-9.5	8
10	Randers FC	8	2	1	5	-3	+2.1	7
11	Fredericia	8	1	1	6	-12	-9.8	4
12	Vejle	8	0	2	6	-12	-7.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.