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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Feyenoord
S T S T T
2–4
Full-time
Nijmegen
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
75%
42%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,6
4,1
Scored
2,6
2,4
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,82 xG 2,26
55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 12
5 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 2. · Nijmegen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 1 1 +24 +12.7 34
2 Feyenoord 12 9 1 2 +19 +18.4 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 13 7 3 3 +5 +8.3 24
4 Ajax 13 5 5 3 +4 +2.8 20
5 Groningen 12 6 1 5 +0 +3.3 19
6 Nijmegen 12 5 3 4 +9 +5.4 18
7 Utrecht 11 6 0 5 +6 -2.0 18
8 Twente 13 4 5 4 +2 +11.1 17
9 For Sittard 13 5 2 6 -2 -6.9 17
10 Sparta Rotterdam 13 5 2 6 -10 -4.8 17
11 Heerenveen 12 4 4 4 +0 +10.1 16
12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 4 4 5 -1 -5.5 16
13 Volendam 13 3 5 5 -4 -10.0 14
14 Excelsior 13 4 1 8 -11 -8.6 13
15 NAC Breda 13 3 3 7 -7 -6.9 12
16 Zwolle 12 3 3 6 -13 -10.3 12
17 Heracles 13 4 0 9 -14 -10.4 12
18 Telstar 12 2 3 7 -7 -6.8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Nijmegen
37′
B. Linssen 0–1
T. Chery
1–1 L. Sauer
S. Steijn
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 B. Nieuwkoop
A. Hadj Moussa
56′
59′
🔁 N. Lebreton
↦ T. Chery
59′
🔁 D. Proper
↦ K. Ogawa
Anel Ahmedhodžić 🟨
63′
J. Lotomba 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
68′
O. Targhalline 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
68′
68′
🔁 K. Shiogai
↦ B. Linssen
69′
N. Lebreton 2–2
B. Onal
A. Sliti 🔁
↦ A. Hadj Moussa
76′
84′
K. Shiogai 2–3
B. Onal
86′
🔁 B. Pereira
↦ B. Onal
C. Tengstedt 🔁
↦ A. Ahmedhodzic
87′
87′
🔁 D. Fonville
↦ S. Ouaissa
90′
K. Shiogai 2–4
94′
🟨 Ahmetcan Kaplan
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
22 T. Wellenreuther G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
21 A. Ahmedhodzic D
4 T. Watanabe D
5 G. Smal D
40 L. Valente M
8 Q. Timber M
23 A. Hadj Moussa M
14 S. Steijn M
16 L. Sauer M
9 A. Ueda F
Bench (11)
11 G. Borges
1 J. Bijlow
39 L. Bossin
27 G. Diarra
30 J. Lotomba
46 A. Ouarghi
43 J. Plug
32 A. Sliti
28 O. Targhalline
17 C. Tengstedt
49 S. van Persie

Coach: Robin van Persie

Nijmegen

3-4-2-1
1 G. Crettaz G
14 E. Dasa D
3 P. Sandler D
4 A. Kaplan D
25 S. Ouaissa M
23 K. Sano M
6 D. Nejasmic M
11 B. Onal M
10 T. Chery F
30 B. Linssen F
18 K. Ogawa F
Bench (12)
24 D. Fonville
21 R. Gonzalez
31 R. Janse
20 N. Lebreton
7 V. Misidjan
5 T. Ouwejan
2 B. Pereira
71 D. Proper
9 K. Shiogai
15 J. Willems
35 S. de Laat
32 V. van Crooij

Coach: Dick Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,38
U
5,14
B ✓
6,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,34
U2,5
3,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.