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LaLiga2
Referee: Alonso De Ena Wolf
Ceuta
T S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Eibar
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ceuta 15. · Eibar 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 La Coruna 7 4 3 0 +11 15
2 Cadiz 7 4 3 0 +4 15
3 Andorra 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Santander 7 4 1 2 +4 13
5 Burgos 7 3 3 1 +5 +3.1 12
6 Eibar 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Valladolid 7 3 2 2 +3 +2.3 11
8 Las Palmas 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Almeria 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Huesca 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Sp Gijon 7 3 0 4 -1 9
12 Castellon 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Malaga 7 2 2 3 -1 8
14 Albacete 7 2 2 3 -2 8
15 Ceuta 7 2 2 3 -5 -2.3 8
16 Leganes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
17 Mirandes 7 2 1 4 -3 7
18 Cultural Leonesa 7 2 1 4 -5 -3.1 7
19 Sociedad B 7 1 3 3 -2 6
20 Zaragoza 7 1 3 3 -3 6
21 Cordoba 7 1 3 3 -4 6
22 Granada 7 1 2 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
3,03
B
2,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.