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LaLiga2
Referee: Sergiu Muresan
Zaragoza
T S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Almeria
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
56%
22%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 4. · Almeria 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 10 7 2 1 +7 23
2 Mirandes 10 5 3 2 +4 18
3 Huesca 10 5 2 3 +6 17
4 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
5 Castellon 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Granada 10 4 4 2 +4 16
7 Oviedo 10 4 4 2 +0 16
8 Sp Gijon 9 4 3 2 +4 15
9 Levante 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Burgos 9 4 2 3 +1 14
12 Malaga 10 2 7 1 -1 13
13 Cordoba 10 3 3 4 -2 12
14 Eldense 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Elche 9 3 2 4 +0 11
16 Albacete 9 3 2 4 -2 11
17 La Coruna 10 2 4 4 -2 10
18 Cadiz 10 2 4 4 -5 10
19 Ferrol 10 2 4 4 -5 10
20 Almeria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
21 Cartagena 10 2 0 8 -8 6
22 Tenerife 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Almeria
1′
🟨 Edgar González
9′
L. Suárez 0–1
1–1 Iván Azón
Toni Moya
12′
18′
🟨 Iddrisu Baba
Enrique Clemente 🔁
↦ Dani Tasende
40′
Half-time 1–1
Francho Serrano 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
46′
48′
ℹ️ Léo Baptistão
VAR: Goal cancelled
48′
🟨 Chumi
Samed Baždar 🟨
56′
67′
L. Suárez 1–2
Nico Melamed
Alberto Marí 🔁
↦ Iván Azón
72′
Pau Sans 🔁
↦ K. Bare
72′
77′
🔁 Marc Pubill
↦ Sergio Arribas
77′
🔁 D. Lopy
↦ Léo Baptistão
78′
🟨 Dion Lopy
78′
🟨 Gonzalo Melero
Bernardo Vital 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 Álex Centelles
↦ I. Baba
87′
🟨 Fernando Martínez
90′
🔁 Kaiky
↦ Nico Melamed
90′
🔁 Gui
↦ Gonzalo Melero
Marc Aguado 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 G. Poussin G
19 Iván Calero D
24 Lluís López D
15 Bernardo Vital D
4 Dani Tasende D
23 Ager Aketxe M
21 Toni Moya M
6 K. Bare M
33 Adrian Liso M
9 Iván Azón F
11 S. Baždar F
Bench (12)
5 Enrique Clemente
14 Francho Serrano
22 Alberto Marí
29 Pau Sans
8 Marc Aguado
25 Joan Femenías
10 Sergio Bermejo
1 C. Álvarez
26 Gori
2 Marcos Luna
20 Adu Ares
12 S. Kóša

Coach: Victor Fernández

Almeria

4-4-2
13 Fernando Martínez G
17 Álex Pozo D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
24 Bruno Langa D
11 Sergio Arribas M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
15 I. Baba M
10 Nico Melamed M
12 Léo Baptistão F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (10)
18 Marc Pubill
6 D. Lopy
20 Álex Centelles
4 Kaiky
27 Gui
2 Arnau Puigmal
19 M. Milovanović
33 Safi
31 Bruno Iribarne
26 Paco Sanz

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,36
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sergiu Muresan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.