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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Bruno Vieira

Sanjoanense

T U T S U

2–4

Full-time

Farense

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sanjoanense Farense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amarante	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Cinfães	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Rebordosa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Moncarapachense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Anadia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Moura	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Oliveira Hospital	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	União Santarém	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	CF Os Belenenses	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Lusitânia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Maria da Fonte	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Sanjoanense	2	1	1	0	+5	4
15	Operário	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	São João Ver	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Brito	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Vila Real	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Caldas	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+4	3
22	SC Covilha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Alpendorada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Lagoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Atlético CP	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Estrela Vendas Novas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Machico	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Ferreira Zêzere	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Academica	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Atlético Arcos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Vilaverdense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Os Limianos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Guarda	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Sertanense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Régua	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	1º Dezembro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Mortágua	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Aliança de Gandra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Vieira	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Mafra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
69	Pevidem	2	1	0	1	-1	3
70	CF Benfica	2	1	0	1	-2	3
71	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
72	Amora	2	1	0	1	-4	3
73	Lajense	3	1	0	2	-5	3
74	AD Marco 09	2	0	2	0	+0	2
75	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	O Elvas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Fátima	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	União de Coimbra	2	0	1	1	-2	1
85	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Coimbrões	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Bragança	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Felgueiras 1932	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
111	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Peniche	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
124	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
129	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
130	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
131	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
132	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
133	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
134	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
135	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0
136	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
137	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
138	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cinfães	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Rebordosa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Moncarapachense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Moura	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Oliveira Hospital	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	União Santarém	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Brito	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	SC Covilha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Alcains	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Alpendorada	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Varzim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Machico	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Vieira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Lagoa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Anadia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Atlético CP	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	CF Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	CF Os Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Ferreira Zêzere	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Academica	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Aliança de Gandra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Guarda	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	1º Dezembro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Lajense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Caldas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Vianense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	Pevidem	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	Amora	2	1	0	1	-4	3
41	Leça	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	União de Coimbra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Ovarense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Vila Real	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Fátima	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Dumiense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Coimbrões	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Velense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Arronches e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Peniche	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Abrantes e Benfica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Vieirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Oliveira de Frades	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Ginásio Figueirense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
74	Praia Milfontes	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amarante	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sanjoanense	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Operário	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+4	3
6	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Arronches e Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Os Limianos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Estrela Vendas Novas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Atlético Arcos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Maria da Fonte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Vilaverdense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Sertanense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Régua	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Mortágua	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Mafra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
40	AD Marco 09	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Beira-Mar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	São João Ver	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Joane	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	O Elvas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Estarreja	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Bragança	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Louletano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Cardielense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Oliveirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Maia Lidador	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	União Lamas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Aliança de Gandra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Portel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Felgueiras 1932	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Sacavenense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Vieira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Machico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Pedras Salgadas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	CF Benfica	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Juventude Gaula	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	O Grandolense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Macedo Cavaleiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Resende	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Lajense	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.