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LaLiga2
Zaragoza
T S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Almeria
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 41%
27%
55%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
24%
48%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
52%
Average goals
1,6
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 4
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zaragoza 15. · Almeria 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 33 20 7 6 +35 67
2 Mallorca 33 19 8 6 +21 65
3 Almeria 33 18 6 9 +19 60
4 Leganes 33 17 6 10 +10 57
5 Sp Gijon 34 15 11 8 +11 56
6 Vallecano 33 16 7 10 +10 55
7 Girona 34 13 10 11 +0 49
8 Ponferradina 34 13 10 11 -1 49
9 Malaga 34 13 9 12 -6 48
10 Las Palmas 34 11 12 11 -4 45
11 Mirandes 31 12 8 11 +1 44
12 Tenerife 33 12 8 13 +1 44
13 Fuenlabrada 34 9 16 9 -1 43
14 Oviedo 34 8 16 10 +0 40
15 Zaragoza 33 9 9 15 -6 36
16 Castellon 33 10 6 17 -8 36
17 Lugo 33 8 12 13 -11 36
18 Logrones 33 9 9 15 -18 36
19 Cartagena 33 8 10 15 -11 34
20 Alcorcon 33 8 9 16 -10 33
21 Sabadell 33 7 11 15 -10 32
22 Albacete 34 7 8 19 -22 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,06
U
2,78
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,60
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.