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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Hamburg
S S U U S
3–1
Full-time
Magdeburg
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
75%
88%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
75%
Average goals
3,4
3,3
Scored
2,4
2,1
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 6. · Magdeburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 6 2 1 +7 20
2 Magdeburg 8 4 4 0 +8 16
3 Karlsruhe 8 4 4 0 +5 16
4 Paderborn 9 4 4 1 +4 16
5 Hannover 9 5 1 3 +4 16
6 Hamburg 8 4 3 1 +11 15
7 Hertha 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 Elversberg 9 3 4 2 +5 13
9 FC Koln 9 3 3 3 +3 12
10 Kaiserslautern 9 3 3 3 +1 12
11 Greuther Furth 8 2 4 2 +3 10
12 Nurnberg 8 3 1 4 -5 10
13 Darmstadt 9 2 3 4 -3 9
14 Schalke 04 9 2 2 5 -4 8
15 Ulm 8 2 1 5 -2 7
16 Braunschweig 9 2 1 6 -12 7
17 Preußen Münster 9 1 3 5 -5 6
18 Regensburg 9 1 1 7 -21 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Hamburg

3-4-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
8 Daniel Elfadli D
23 J. Meffert D
4 S. Schonlau D
33 N. Katterbach M
20 M. Richter M
14 L. Reis M
28 M. Muheim M
11 R. Königsdörffer F
27 D. Selke F
7 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
24 L. Perrin
6 Ł. Poręba
18 B. Jatta
2 W. Mikelbrencis
45 Fábio Baldé
19 M. Raab
10 I. Pherai
29 E. Sahiti
17 A. Karabec

Coach: S. Baumgart

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
5 T. Müller D
15 D. Heber M
25 S. Gnaka M
13 C. Krempicki M
11 M. El Hankouri M
20 X. Amaechi F
9 M. Kaars F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
27 P. Hercher
29 L. Burcu
17 A. Nollenberger
14 A. El-Zein
37 T. Ito
21 F. Michel
2 S. Loric
30 N. Kruth
8 Bryan Teixeira

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,63
U
4,35
B
4,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.