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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Genk

S S S S T

3–2

Full-time

St Truiden

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 39%

63%

14%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

75%

57%

Both score Ø 67%

63%

71%

Average goals

3,4

Scored

2,0

1,1

Conceded

1,4

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

2,30 xG 1,17

68% Possession 32%

19 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Genk 1. · St Truiden 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	5	1	2	+5	+11.9	16
2	Antwerp	6	5	0	1	+13	+3.3	15
3	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+7	+5.8	14
4	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+6	+4.9	14
5	Gent	8	4	1	3	+6	-3.0	13
6	Anderlecht	8	3	4	1	+5	+2.9	13
7	Dender	9	3	4	2	+0	-1.4	13
8	St. Gilloise	7	3	3	1	+5	+6.4	12
9	Westerlo	8	2	2	4	-2	+1.6	8
10	Standard	6	2	2	2	-2	-3.1	8
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	4	2	-2	+1.0	7
12	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.9	7
13	Kortrijk	8	2	1	5	-9	-5.6	7
14	St Truiden	7	1	3	3	-8	-3.9	6
15	Beerschot VA	9	1	2	6	-11	-10.2	5
16	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-11	-8.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.3	10
2	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
3	Antwerp	4	3	0	1	+11	+3.1	9
4	Gent	4	3	0	1	+7	+1.9	9
5	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.1	9
6	Anderlecht	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.3	9
7	Westerlo	5	2	1	2	+2	+4.6	7
8	Standard	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.0	7
9	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.1	6
10	Kortrijk	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.5	6
11	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.1	5
13	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
14	Cercle Brugge	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.4	4
15	Beerschot VA	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.4	4
16	Mechelen	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.8	10
2	Dender	5	2	2	1	-2	-2.1	8
3	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
5	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.0	4
6	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.5	4
7	Gent	4	1	1	2	-1	-4.9	4
8	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
9	St. Gilloise	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
11	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
12	Standard	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
13	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.1	1
14	Beerschot VA	5	0	1	4	-10	-6.8	1
15	Cercle Brugge	5	0	1	4	-11	-7.2	1
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.