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LaLiga2
Referee: Dámaso Arcediano
Cadiz
U S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Santander
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
22%
67%
Points per game
1,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
78%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
10 Offside 4
29 Free kicks against 17
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 18. · Santander 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 9 6 2 1 +6 20
2 Mirandes 10 5 3 2 +4 18
3 Zaragoza 9 5 1 3 +7 16
4 Huesca 9 5 1 3 +6 16
5 Castellon 10 5 1 4 +4 16
6 Granada 10 4 4 2 +4 16
7 Oviedo 10 4 4 2 +0 16
8 Sp Gijon 9 4 3 2 +4 15
9 Levante 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +0 15
11 Burgos 9 4 2 3 +1 14
12 Malaga 10 2 7 1 -1 13
13 Cordoba 10 3 3 4 -2 12
14 Eldense 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Elche 9 3 2 4 +0 11
16 Albacete 9 3 2 4 -2 11
17 La Coruna 10 2 4 4 -2 10
18 Cadiz 9 2 4 3 -4 10
19 Almeria 9 2 3 4 -4 9
20 Ferrol 9 2 3 4 -5 9
21 Cartagena 10 2 0 8 -8 6
22 Tenerife 10 1 2 7 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Santander
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
16′
18′
🟨 Clément Michelin
42′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ C. Michelin
Half-time 0–0
Iza Carcelén 🟨
50′
Chris Ramos 🟨
53′
56′
Juan Carlos Arana 0–1
Iñigo Vicente
59′
🟨 Javier Castro
67′
🔁 Jon Karrikaburu
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
67′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ Iza Carcelén
69′
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
69′
Óscar Melendo 🔁
↦ R. Kouamé
81′
Rubén Sobrino 🔁
↦ Chris Ramos
86′
F. Mwepu 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
86′
88′
🔁 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
↦ Iñigo Vicente
88′
🔁 Marco Carrascal
↦ Andrés Martín
Víctor Chust 🟨
94′
Iván Alejo 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Suleiman Camara
Fali 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 David Gil G
20 Iza Carcelén D
3 Fali D
5 Víctor Chust D
18 José Matos D
22 Javi Ontiveros M
12 R. Kouamé M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
10 B. Ocampo M
23 Carlos Fernández F
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (12)
17 G. Escalante
11 Iván Alejo
25 Óscar Melendo
7 Rubén Sobrino
15 F. Mwepu
13 José Antonio Caro
19 José de la Rosa
2 Joseba Zaldúa
24 Cristian Glauder
21 T. Alarcón
14 B. Kovačević
6 Fede San Emeterio

Coach: Paco López

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
5 Javi Castro D
24 Javi Montero D
40 Mario García D
21 Unai Vencedor M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
15 Marco Sangalli
19 Jon Karrikaburu
20 S. Camara
6 Íñigo Sainz-Maza
28 Marco Carrascal
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
29 Jeremy Arévalo
12 M. Gueye
18 Manu Hernando
7 L. Junior
3 Saúl García
1 Miquel Parera

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,40
B ✓
3,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,81
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dámaso Arcediano · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.