Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Zaragoza
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 0–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Espanol
|
41 | 24 | 10 | 7 | +44 | 82 |
| 2 |
Mallorca
|
41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | +26 | 81 |
| 3 |
Almeria
|
41 | 20 | 10 | 11 | +19 | 70 |
| 4 |
Leganes
|
41 | 20 | 10 | 11 | +14 | 70 |
| 5 |
Girona
|
41 | 20 | 10 | 11 | +11 | 70 |
| 6 |
Vallecano
|
41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | +13 | 67 |
| 7 |
Sp Gijon
|
41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | +11 | 65 |
| 8 |
Ponferradina
|
41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 |
Fuenlabrada
|
42 | 12 | 18 | 12 | -1 | 54 |
| 10 |
Mirandes
|
41 | 14 | 12 | 15 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 |
Las Palmas
|
41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | -8 | 53 |
| 12 |
Tenerife
|
42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | +0 | 52 |
| 13 |
Oviedo
|
42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | -1 | 52 |
| 14 |
Malaga
|
41 | 13 | 11 | 17 | -13 | 50 |
| 15 |
Zaragoza
|
41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 |
Cartagena
|
41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | -8 | 48 |
| 17 |
Alcorcon
|
41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | -8 | 46 |
| 18 |
Lugo
|
41 | 10 | 14 | 17 | -16 | 44 |
| 19 | Logrones | 41 | 11 | 11 | 19 | -24 | 44 |
| 20 |
Sabadell
|
41 | 10 | 13 | 18 | -10 | 43 |
| 21 |
Castellon
|
41 | 11 | 8 | 22 | -16 | 41 |
| 22 |
Albacete
|
42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -23 | 38 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mallorca
Zaragoza
Zaragoza
Castellon
Las Palmas
Zaragoza
Zaragoza
Espanol
Lugo
Zaragoza
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.