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LaLiga2
Referee: Francisco Hernández
Leganes
U S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
35%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
45%
30%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
35%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Leganes 12. · Zaragoza 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 21 10 8 3 +12 38
2 Eibar 21 10 7 4 +7 37
3 Levante 21 9 9 3 +9 36
4 Burgos 21 9 8 4 +8 35
5 Alaves 21 9 7 5 +2 34
6 Granada 21 9 5 7 +9 32
7 Albacete 21 8 8 5 +2 32
8 Cartagena 21 9 5 7 +2 32
9 Andorra 21 8 5 8 +5 29
10 Huesca 21 7 7 7 -1 28
11 Villarreal B 21 7 7 7 -2 28
12 Leganes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
13 Sp Gijon 21 6 9 6 +0 27
14 Oviedo 21 7 6 8 -2 27
15 Mirandes 21 6 8 7 -2 26
16 Zaragoza 20 6 7 7 +0 25
17 Tenerife 21 6 7 8 -2 25
18 Santander 21 5 6 10 -4 21
19 Lugo 21 5 6 10 -8 21
20 Ponferradina 21 5 6 10 -9 21
21 Malaga 21 4 7 10 -9 19
22 Ibiza 21 4 4 13 -18 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Zaragoza
17′
G. Simeone 0–1
29′
🔁 Gaizka Larrazabal
↦ Sergio Bermejo
1–1 Juan Muñoz
S. Cissé
33′
40′
🟨 Víctor Mollejo
Half-time 1–1
68′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ Víctor Mollejo
68′
🔁 Jaume Grau
↦ Alberto Zapater
71′
🟨 Alejandro Francés
73′
🟨 Alejandro Francés
73′
🟥 Alejandro Francés
2–1 Juan Muñoz
75′
Fede Vico 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 Manu Molina
↦ Eugeni Valderrama
78′
🔁 J. Quinteros
↦ Fran Gámez
G. Shibasaki 🔁
↦ Fede Vico
82′
84′
🟨 Jairo Quinteros
Y. Qasmi 🔁
↦ Juan Muñoz
84′
Allan Nyom 🟨
86′
Naim García 🔁
↦ Rubén Pardo
90′
Jorge Miramón 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leganes

3-4-3
13 Asier Riesgo G
2 A. Nyom D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
32 S. Cissé M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
18 Rubén Pardo M
21 Miramón M
11 Juan Muñoz F
10 José Arnáiz F
14 Fede Vico F
Bench (12)
8 G. Shibasaki
9 Y. Qasmi
27 Naim García
7 Javier Avilés
24 P. Parzyszek
5 Josema Sánchez
25 Belman
22 R. Durmisi
33 Lalo Aguilar
16 Y. Neyou
1 Dani Jiménez
28 Manu Garrido

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Zaragoza

4-4-2
35 Dani Rebollo G
18 Fran Gámez D
6 Alejandro Francés D
3 Jair Amador D
2 G. Fuentes D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
14 Francho Serrano M
21 Alberto Zapater M
8 Eugeni Valderrama M
28 Víctor Mollejo F
20 G. Simeone F
Bench (11)
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
19 M. Gueye
5 Jaume Grau
23 Manu Molina
15 J. Quinteros
24 Lluís López
7 Miguel Puche
22 Carlos Vigaray
17 Carlos Nieto
13 Álvaro Ratón
4 R. Petrović

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
U
2,93
B
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,71
U2,5
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Francisco Hernández · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.