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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel González
Leganes
S S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Ferrol
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 57%
69%
44%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
31%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Leganes 1. · Ferrol 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 16 11 2 3 +19 35
2 Valladolid 17 10 2 5 +4 32
3 Eibar 17 9 3 5 +9 30
4 Sp Gijon 16 8 5 3 +10 29
5 Espanol 16 8 4 4 +10 28
6 Santander 17 8 3 6 +5 27
7 Ferrol 16 7 6 3 +3 27
8 Levante 17 6 6 5 -1 24
9 Eldense 16 6 5 5 +0 23
10 Tenerife 16 7 2 7 -1 23
11 Elche 16 6 5 5 -3 23
12 Oviedo 16 5 7 4 +5 22
13 Zaragoza 17 6 4 7 -1 22
14 Burgos 17 6 4 7 -2 22
15 Albacete 17 5 6 6 -5 21
16 Mirandes 16 5 4 7 -2 19
17 Andorra 17 5 3 9 -7 18
18 Villarreal B 17 4 5 8 -7 17
19 Huesca 17 3 7 7 -4 16
20 Amorebieta 16 3 5 8 -8 14
21 Alcorcon 16 3 5 8 -11 14
22 Cartagena 16 1 5 10 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Ferrol
9′
Iker Losada 0–1
Álvaro Giménez
15′
Josep Señé 0–2
Iker Losada
Dani Raba ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
28′
28′
ℹ️ David Castro
VAR: Card upgrade
29′
🟨 Álvaro Vadillo
29′
🟨 Josep Señé
29′
🟥 David Castro
1–2 Y. Neyou
30′
Diego García 🔁
↦ Aritz Arambarri
33′
33′
🔁 Jon García
↦ Álvaro Vadillo
2–2 Diego García
Enric Franquesa
42′
Half-time 2–2
58′
🔁 Fran Manzanara
↦ Iker Losada
58′
🔁 Julián Delmás
↦ Álvaro Giménez
S. Cissé 🔁
↦ Portillo
61′
Oscar Ureña 🔁
↦ N. Djouahra
61′
Miguel de la Fuente 🟨
65′
J. Chicco 🔁
↦ Y. Neyou
79′
Darío Poveda 🔁
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
79′
88′
🔁 Sabin Merino
↦ Carlos Vicente
88′
🔁 Nacho Sánchez
↦ Enrique Clemente
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Leganes

5-3-2
13 Diego Conde G
21 Jorge Miramón D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
15 Enric Franquesa D
7 Portillo M
17 Y. Neyou M
23 N. Djouahra M
10 Dani Raba F
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (11)
19 Diego García
32 S. Cissé
28 Oscar Ureña
24 J. Chicco
11 Darío Poveda
5 Josema
1 Dani Jiménez
36 Alvin
2 A. Nyom
33 Lalo Aguilar
27 Naim García

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Ander Cantero G
24 Sergio Cubero D
5 Enrique Clemente D
15 David Castro D
21 Moi Delgado D
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
23 Carlos Vicente M
22 Iker Losada M
14 Álvaro Vadillo M
20 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (9)
4 Jon García
16 Fran Manzanara
2 Julián Delmás
19 Sabin Merino
11 Nacho Sánchez
9 Manu Justo
8 Álex López
1 G. Gazzaniga
13 Emilio Bernad

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,11
B
4,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,63
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel González · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.