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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Sp Gijon
S S S U U
2–0
Full-time
Eldense
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 5. · Eldense 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 17 11 3 3 +19 36
2 Valladolid 17 10 2 5 +4 32
3 Espanol 17 9 4 4 +12 31
4 Eibar 17 9 3 5 +9 30
5 Sp Gijon 16 8 5 3 +10 29
6 Ferrol 17 7 7 3 +3 28
7 Santander 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Elche 17 7 5 5 -1 26
9 Levante 17 6 6 5 -1 24
10 Tenerife 17 7 3 7 -1 24
11 Eldense 16 6 5 5 +0 23
12 Oviedo 17 5 7 5 +4 22
13 Mirandes 17 6 4 7 -1 22
14 Zaragoza 17 6 4 7 -1 22
15 Burgos 17 6 4 7 -2 22
16 Albacete 17 5 6 6 -5 21
17 Andorra 17 5 3 9 -7 18
18 Villarreal B 17 4 5 8 -7 17
19 Huesca 17 3 7 7 -4 16
20 Amorebieta 17 3 5 9 -10 14
21 Alcorcon 17 3 5 9 -13 14
22 Cartagena 17 1 6 10 -13 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Eldense
1–0 Gaspar Campos
Fran Villalba
8′
Jonathan Varane 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
H. Hassan 🔁
↦ Fran Villalba
46′
Roque Mesa 🔁
↦ J. Varane
46′
59′
🔁 F. Andone
↦ Cris Montes
59′
🔁 Jesús Clemente
↦ Juanto
Rober Pier 🔁
↦ Guille Rosas
63′
68′
🟨 Toni Abad
2–0 U. Đurđević
H. Hassan
69′
70′
🔁 Arnau Ortiz
↦ Iván Chapela
Dani Queipo 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
75′
80′
🔁 Álex Bernal
↦ Toni Abad
80′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ Mario Soberón
Víctor Campuzano 🔁
↦ J. Otero
83′
93′
ℹ️ David Timor
VAR: Card upgrade
94′
🟨 David Timor
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

4-4-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
2 Guille Rosas D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
4 Pablo Insua D
3 Cote D
19 J. Otero M
10 Nacho Méndez M
12 J. Varane M
7 Gaspar Campos M
8 Fran Villalba F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (12)
21 H. Hassan
15 Roque Mesa
22 Rober Pier
9 Dani Queipo
11 Víctor Campuzano
16 Diego Sánchez
5 Pablo García
6 Nacho Martín
14 I. Jeraldino
13 C. Sánchez
25 A. Pașcanu
20 J. Carrillo

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Eldense

4-4-2
13 Andoni Zubiaurre G
2 Toni Abad D
6 Carlos Hernández D
5 Piña D
12 Derick Poloni D
10 Cris Montes
8 Sergio Ortu M
24 David Timor M
20 Iván Chapela M
11 Juanto F
9 Mario Soberón F
Bench (12)
7 F. Andone
17 Jesús Clemente
29 Arnau Ortiz
21 Álex Bernal
27 E. Salcedo
1 Guille Vallejo
14 Miguel Llambrich
4 D. Đumić
22 M. Doué
31 Álvaro Aceves
19 Joel Jorquera
18 Pedro Capó

Coach: Fernando Estévez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
3,68
B
5,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.