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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Oviedo
S U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Cartagena
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 18%
29%
7%
Points per game
1,3
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
14%
50%
Both score Ø 39%
21%
57%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
18 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 14. · Cartagena 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 15 11 1 3 +19 34
2 Sp Gijon 15 8 4 3 +10 28
3 Valladolid 15 9 1 5 +3 28
4 Eibar 15 8 3 4 +8 27
5 Ferrol 15 7 5 3 +3 26
6 Espanol 15 7 4 4 +8 25
7 Levante 15 6 6 3 +3 24
8 Tenerife 15 7 2 6 +1 23
9 Elche 15 6 5 4 -1 23
10 Zaragoza 15 6 4 5 +2 22
11 Eldense 15 6 4 5 +0 22
12 Santander 15 6 3 6 +1 21
13 Burgos 15 6 2 7 -2 20
14 Oviedo 14 4 6 4 +4 18
15 Mirandes 15 5 3 7 -2 18
16 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -6 17
17 Villarreal B 15 4 4 7 -5 16
18 Andorra 15 5 1 9 -7 16
19 Huesca 15 2 7 6 -5 13
20 Alcorcon 15 3 4 8 -11 13
21 Amorebieta 15 2 5 8 -10 11
22 Cartagena 14 1 3 10 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Cartagena
2′
Iván Calero 0–1
T. Alarcón
18′
🟨 Tomás Alarcón
18′
🟨 Ivan Calero
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Mikel Rico
Borja Bastón ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
62′
🔁 Jony Álamo
↦ Mikel Rico
62′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ Juan Carlos Real
Alemão 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
67′
Masca 🔁
↦ Camarasa
67′
Viti Rozada 🔁
↦ Lucas Ahijado
67′
Masca 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 J. Narváez
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
74′
🟨 Pedro Alcalá
80′
🟨 Juan Narváez
Carlos Pomares 🔁
↦ Abel Bretones
82′
82′
🔁 Gonzalo Verdú
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
82′
🔁 H. Hevel
↦ D. Musto
Alemão 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Marc Martínez
Santiago Colombatto 🟨
86′
Alemão ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
95′
96′
🟨 Kiko Olivas
Dani Calvo 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Hector Hevel
1–1 Paulino de la Fuente
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
31 Leo Román G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
11 S. Colombatto M
10 Camarasa M
18 Paulino de la Fuente M
16 Jaime Seoane M
17 Sebas Moyano M
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (11)
14 Alemão
20 Masca
7 Viti Rozada
21 Carlos Pomares
35 Jaime Vázquez
36 Diego Menéndez
32 Álex Cardero
6 Jimmy
28 Mario Sesè
1 Q. Braat
5 Luismi

Coach: Luis Carrión

Cartagena

5-3-2
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
14 José Fontán D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
17 Mikel Rico M
18 D. Musto M
23 T. Alarcón M
11 Juan Carlos Real F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (11)
32 Jony Álamo
21 I. Jansson
12 J. Narváez
5 Gonzalo Verdú
10 H. Hevel
19 Úmaro Embaló
27 José Saldaña
24 Jony
29 L. de León
13 Raúl Lizoain
7 David Ferreiro

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
3,30
B
5,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.