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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Villarreal B
S U T T T
3–1
Full-time
Eldense
U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal B Eldense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal B 21. · Eldense 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Andorra 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Levante 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Ferrol 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Santander 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Eibar 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Albacete 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Amorebieta 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Burgos 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Oviedo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Cartagena 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Elche 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Villarreal B 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Alcorcon 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal B Eldense
1–0 Jorge Pascual
Dani Tasende
4′
18′
🟨 Sergio Ortuño Díaz
2–0 Álex Forés
Javi Ontiveros
27′
34′
Juanto 2–1
Toni Abad
Half-time 2–1
Abraham Rando 🟨
48′
3–1 Alberto del Moral
Javi Ontiveros
50′
T. Geralnik 🔁
↦ Javi Ontiveros
52′
55′
🔁 Jesús Clemente
↦ Cris Montes
55′
🔁 Álex Bernal
↦ F. Andone
55′
🔁 Iván Chapela
↦ Arnau Ortiz
65′
🔁 Y. Didi
↦ Sergio Ortu
Rodri Alonso 🔁
↦ Ilias Akhomach
67′
A. Ferrari 🔁
↦ Álex Forés
67′
Diego Collado 🔁
↦ Jorge Pascual
67′
71′
🔁 M. Doué
↦ Juanto
Pablo Íñiguez 🔁
↦ Dani Tasende
89′
Antonio Espigares 🟨
90′
102′
ℹ️ Iván Chapela
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
3,25
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.