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Serie B
Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi
Bari
U U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Cremonese
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
28%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
32%
48%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 27
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 7. · Cremonese 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 26 19 4 3 +33 61
2 Pisa 25 15 6 4 +17 51
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 25 11 7 7 +11 40
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 25 9 9 7 -1 36
7 Bari 25 7 12 6 +3 33
8 Cesena 25 9 6 10 -1 33
9 Palermo 25 8 7 10 +2 31
10 Modena 26 6 13 7 +0 31
11 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
12 Carrarese 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
14 Reggiana 25 7 7 11 -5 28
15 Sampdoria 26 6 10 10 -7 28
16 Mantova 25 6 10 9 -8 28
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 25 5 10 10 -7 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 25 4 10 11 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Cremonese
R. Pucino 🔁
↦ F. Vicari
28′
42′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
Half-time 0–0
N. Bonfanti 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
46′
N. Lella 🔁
↦ G. Pereiro
46′
46′
🔁 D. Johnsen
↦ F. Vázquez
52′
🔁 T. Barbieri
↦ M. Collocolo
62′
🔁 M. Valoti
↦ J. Vandeputte
62′
🔁 M. De Luca
↦ M. Nasti
69′
M. Valoti 0–1
D. Johnsen
Nicola Bellomo 🟨
75′
C. Falletti 🔁
↦ N. Bellomo
75′
78′
🟨 Paulo Azzi
79′
🟨 Dennis Johnsen
A. Favilli 🔁
↦ M. Maita
79′
90′
🔁 Ž. Majer
↦ M. Castagnetti
0–2 M. Bianchetti
own goal
93′
Nicholas Bonfanti 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Valentin Antov
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bari

3-4-2-1
1 B. Radunović G
3 V. Mantovani D
23 F. Vicari D
55 N. Obaretin D
27 C. Favasuli M
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
93 M. Dorval M
20 G. Pereiro F
10 N. Bellomo F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (11)
25 R. Pucino
11 N. Bonfanti
28 N. Lella
19 C. Falletti
99 A. Favilli
45 D. Marfella
94 C. Saco
21 G. Maggiore
17 R. Maiello
22 M. Pissardo
13 A. Tripaldelli

Coach: M. Longo

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
18 M. Collocolo M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
7 Paulo Azzi M
99 M. Nasti F
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (11)
11 D. Johnsen
4 T. Barbieri
8 M. Valoti
9 M. De Luca
37 Ž. Majer
98 L. Zanimacchia
22 A. Malovec
90 F. Bonazzoli
12 G. Drago
23 F. Ceccherini
42 L. Moretti

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U ✓
3,08
B
2,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Ferrieri Caputi · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.