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Serie B
Referee: S Galipò
Cremonese
U U S U S
3–1
Full-time
Cosenza
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
43%
19%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
43%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
29 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
14 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Cosenza 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 21 15 4 2 +25 49
2 Pisa 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Spezia 21 10 9 2 +16 39
4 Cremonese 21 9 6 6 +8 33
5 Juve Stabia 21 7 9 5 -1 30
6 Cesena 22 8 5 9 +0 29
7 Catanzaro 21 5 13 3 +4 28
8 Bari 21 6 10 5 +4 28
9 Palermo 21 7 6 8 +3 27
10 Carrarese 21 7 6 8 -3 27
11 Modena 21 5 10 6 -1 25
12 Reggiana 21 6 7 8 -2 25
13 Cittadella 21 6 7 8 -12 25
14 Brescia 21 5 9 7 -3 24
15 Mantova 21 5 9 7 -4 24
16 Cosenza 21 4 10 7 -4 22
17 Sampdoria 22 4 9 9 -8 21
18 Frosinone 21 4 8 9 -13 20
19 Sudtirol 21 5 4 12 -14 19
20 Salernitana 21 4 6 11 -11 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Cosenza
Matteo Bianchetti 🟨
16′
1–0 C. Pickel
J. Vandeputte
23′
25′
M. Ricciardi 1–1
G. Artistico
27′
ℹ️ Manuel Ricciardi
VAR: Goal confirmed
Michele Collocolo 🟨
29′
31′
🟨 Manuel Ricciardi
43′
🟨 Charlys
Half-time 1–1
62′
🟨 Manuel Ricciardi
62′
🟥 Manuel Ricciardi
66′
🔁 M. Gargiulo
↦ T. Fumagalli
66′
🔁 B. Cimino
↦ Charlys
68′
🟨 Mario Gargiulo
D. Johnsen 🔁
↦ C. Pickel
72′
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ F. Bonazzoli
72′
74′
🔁 P. Martino
↦ T. DOrazio
75′
🔁 S. Mazzocchi
↦ G. Artistico
L. Zanimacchia 🔁
↦ T. Barbieri
79′
84′
🔁 M. Zilli
↦ A. Rizzo Pinna
2–1 F. Vázquez
J. Vandeputte
85′
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ J. Vandeputte
92′
3–1 D. Johnsen
M. Castagnetti
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-1-1
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
23 F. Ceccherini D
15 M. Bianchetti D
18 M. Collocolo M
6 C. Pickel M
19 M. Castagnetti M
27 J. Vandeputte M
4 T. Barbieri M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (11)
11 D. Johnsen
99 M. Nasti
98 L. Zanimacchia
37 Ž. Majer
9 M. De Luca
5 L. Ravanelli
12 G. Drago
21 G. Saro
25 D. Triacca
62 T. Milanese
10 C. Buonaiuto

Coach: G. Stroppa

Cosenza

3-5-2
1 A. Micai G
29 F. Sgarbi D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
23 M. Venturi D
16 M. Ricciardi M
6 Charlys M
34 A. Florenzi M
11 T. D'Orazio M
20 A. Rizzo Pinna M
10 T. Fumagalli F
9 G. Artistico F
Bench (12)
5 M. Gargiulo
2 B. Cimino
4 P. Martino
30 S. Mazzocchi
21 M. Zilli
32 L. Strizzolo
31 G. Ricci
36 J. Novello
22 T. Vettorel
17 A. Caporale
24 J. Mauri
55 A. Hristov

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,65
B
4,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Galipò · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.