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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Brescia
S T U U T
0–0
Full-time
Carrarese
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
44%
31%
Both score Ø 44%
56%
31%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
5 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 12. · Carrarese 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 17 12 4 1 +24 40
2 Pisa 17 10 5 2 +13 35
3 Spezia 17 9 7 1 +17 34
4 Cesena 17 7 4 6 +3 25
5 Cremonese 16 7 3 6 +4 24
6 Bari 17 5 9 3 +4 24
7 Juve Stabia 16 5 7 4 -2 22
8 Palermo 16 5 6 5 +3 21
9 Catanzaro 16 3 11 2 +3 20
10 Modena 17 4 8 5 +0 20
11 Cosenza 17 4 8 5 -2 20
12 Brescia 16 5 4 7 -3 19
13 Mantova 17 4 7 6 -4 19
14 Carrarese 16 5 4 7 -5 19
15 Reggiana 17 4 6 7 -3 18
16 Sampdoria 17 4 6 7 -6 18
17 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
18 Frosinone 17 3 7 7 -10 16
19 Sudtirol 17 4 2 11 -14 14
20 Cittadella 16 3 5 8 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Carrarese
13′
🟨 Samuel Giovane
Dimitri Bisoli 🟨
17′
29′
🟨 Julián Illanes
Davide Adorni 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
65′
🟨 Marco Imperiale
67′
🔁 F. Oliana
↦ G. Guarino
67′
🔁 D. Bouah
↦ S. Zanon
A. Jurič 🔁
↦ G. Moncini
69′
B. Bjarnason 🔁
↦ N. Galazzi
69′
83′
🔁 L. Cherubini
↦ S. Giovane
M. Besaggio 🔁
↦ M. Verreth
85′
G. Calvani 🔁
↦ A. Papetti
85′
87′
🔁 G. Panico
↦ S. Shpendi
87′
🔁 M. Finotto
↦ L. Cerri
F. Bianchi 🔁
↦ G. Borrelli
88′
Birkir Bjarnason 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Brescia

3-4-1-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
15 A. Cistana D
24 L. Dickmann M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 M. Verreth M
19 N. Corrado M
23 N. Galazzi F
29 G. Borrelli F
11 G. Moncini F
Bench (11)
7 A. Jurič
8 B. Bjarnason
39 M. Besaggio
5 G. Calvani
9 F. Bianchi
27 G. Olzer
22 L. Andrenacci
20 P. Nuamah
4 F. Paghera
26 M. Bertagnoli
33 Z. Muça

Coach: P. Bisoli

Carrarese

3-4-2-1
1 M. Bleve G
4 J. Illanes D
34 G. Guarino D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
20 S. Giovane M
18 N. Schiavi M
77 N. Belloni M
17 E. Zuelli F
19 S. Shpendi F
90 L. Cerri F
Bench (12)
6 F. Oliana
13 D. Bouah
9 L. Cherubini
10 G. Panico
32 M. Finotto
25 F. Falco
28 A. Capello
99 K. Ferrara
29 T. Maressa
8 R. Palmieri
24 N. Chiorra
82 L. Capezzi

Coach: A. Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,22
B
3,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.