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Serie B

Referee: A Arena

Spezia

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Mantova

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

56%

28%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

39%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,1

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

26 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Spezia 3. · Mantova 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	13	4	2	+23	43
2	Pisa	19	11	5	3	+14	38
3	Spezia	18	10	7	1	+18	37
4	Juve Stabia	18	7	7	4	+0	28
5	Cremonese	18	7	5	6	+4	26
6	Cesena	18	7	4	7	+2	25
7	Bari	18	5	9	4	+3	24
8	Catanzaro	18	4	11	3	+3	23
9	Modena	18	5	8	5	+1	23
10	Carrarese	18	6	5	7	-4	23
11	Mantova	18	5	7	6	-2	22
12	Palermo	18	5	6	7	+1	21
13	Brescia	18	5	6	7	-3	21
14	Cosenza	18	4	8	6	-3	20
15	Sampdoria	18	4	7	7	-6	19
16	Reggiana	18	4	6	8	-5	18
17	Salernitana	18	4	6	8	-7	18
18	Cittadella	18	4	6	8	-14	18
19	Sudtirol	18	5	2	11	-13	17
20	Frosinone	18	3	7	8	-12	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	10	7	3	0	+13	24
2	Sassuolo	9	7	1	1	+15	22
3	Spezia	8	7	1	0	+14	22
4	Cesena	9	6	2	1	+7	20
5	Carrarese	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	Mantova	9	5	3	1	+5	18
7	Modena	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Catanzaro	10	3	5	2	+4	14
9	Bari	10	3	5	2	+1	14
10	Juve Stabia	9	4	2	3	-1	14
11	Brescia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Salernitana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Cremonese	9	3	3	3	-2	12
14	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Palermo	8	2	3	3	+1	9
16	Cittadella	9	1	6	2	-1	9
17	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
18	Reggiana	9	2	3	4	-2	9
19	Frosinone	9	1	5	3	-4	8
20	Sudtirol	9	2	2	5	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	10	6	3	1	+8	21
2	Spezia	10	3	6	1	+4	15
3	Cremonese	9	4	2	3	+6	14
4	Pisa	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	Juve Stabia	9	3	5	1	+1	14
6	Palermo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Bari	8	2	4	2	+2	10
8	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-1	10
9	Sampdoria	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Catanzaro	8	1	6	1	-1	9
11	Reggiana	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Sudtirol	9	3	0	6	-6	9
14	Cittadella	9	3	0	6	-13	9
15	Modena	9	1	5	3	-3	8
16	Frosinone	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Salernitana	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Cesena	9	1	2	6	-5	5
19	Carrarese	9	1	2	6	-10	5
20	Mantova	9	0	4	5	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.